Derivatives publik
[search 0]
Lebih
Unduh Aplikasinya!
show episodes
 
The only oil swaps market specific podcast is back. Join Onyx Capital Group CEO, Greg Newman, and a plethora of industry guests as they dig down each week into the issues that affect the market. Are you paying attention?
  continue reading
 
These podcasts series will deliver to you the main ideas discussed in the book Regulation and Supervision of the OTC Derivatives Market written by Dr. Ligia Catherine Arias-Barrera, published by Routledge in 2018, and ranked third within the best new banking law books to read in 2018 and 2019 by BookAuthority. In 2024 this podcast explores the key discussions of the book The Law of ESG Derivatives: Risk, Uncertainty and Sustainable Finance by Dr. Ligia Catherine Arias-Barrera. (Routledge, 2024)
  continue reading
 
Loading …
show series
 
All of last week, Brent futures were comfortably trading at $85/bbl. Now (at time of recording), they're trading around $82.50/bbl. There is a definite bearish turn to the rangebound wave we were in last week. WTI has seen more bullish interest, and it's just entered negative handles in CTA data. WTI also sold off aggressively on 19th July from $81…
  continue reading
 
Macro Specialist James Brodie and Research Analyst Harry Nedeljkovic weigh in on the latest news in the presidential campaign, discussing who the Democratic Party will select as a replacement for Joe Biden as their candidate, who will likely be chosen as a running mate, how Donald Trump’s could react, and subsequently how these critical decisions m…
  continue reading
 
Although the market and the narrative want to be bullish, there's no impetus for it to be there. It's a weak week in Brent futures, after being within in touching distance of $88/bbl. We've seen both long and short prod/merc in Brent 200mb in 2 weeks in Sep 0I. The team explains why bearish economic data from China is adding to the pressure of oil …
  continue reading
 
U.S. CPI was lower than expected, (-0.1% MoM, 3.0% YoY), while U.S. PPI came in higher than expected (U.S. June producer prices rise 2.6% Y/Y; EST. +2.3%). Chinese CPI was on the cusp of deflation again (CPI +0.2% YoY, PPI -0.8% YoY) and Chinese GDP and retail sales were weaker than expected (Q2 GDP 4.7% y/y estimated +5.1%). James and Harry dive i…
  continue reading
 
Brent futures climbed towards $88 before settling around $85.50. Money managers increased their long positions in Brent for the third consecutive week, indicating bullish sentiment European M1 refinery margins softened in the week but remained profitable at $6.40/bbl. Products saw weakness across the barrel but the upcoming hurricane season and pot…
  continue reading
 
Today, macro specialist James Brodie and research analyst Harry Nedeljkovic discuss Sunday’s French legislative election second round and Thursday’s UK General Election followed by their respective impacts on global markets and geopolitics. James and Harry also cover US ISM manufacturing and services PMI data for June, FOMC minutes, German and Fren…
  continue reading
 
Brent crude prices have had a strong week, continuing to rally at $87/bbl. The latest CFTC data indicates that the market has become balanced and neutral in positioning. This presents an opportunity for bullish investors to take action, with legacy positions and new entrants supporting this trend. However, macroeconomic news doesn't fully support t…
  continue reading
 
Today, Macro specialist James Brodie and Research Analyst Harry Nedeljkovic discuss the impact of the first round of results of the French election, along with the upcoming UK and US elections and their economic impacts. James and Harry also cover the Japanese Yen, European inflation, and Guyana's economic growth due to Exxon and partners' investme…
  continue reading
 
For a special podcast episode, Group Chief Executive Greg Newman is joined by Senior Commercial Associate Remona Tefaj and Business Development Associate Melis Varol for a discussion regarding CFTC COT reports and the significance of third party data sets. Greg, Remona, and Melis delve into the scope of the information provided by the CFTC, how usi…
  continue reading
 
Group Chief Investment Officer and Onyx Co-Founder Omar Kayaam joins Group Chief Executive Officer Greg Newman to reflect on how they've scaled the business over the last year. They discuss the big moves that have propelled the business, including hiring experts, developing the technology arm of Onyx, buying out investors, expanding to new offices,…
  continue reading
 
We saw extremely rangebound prices in crude this week, with the September Brent futures contract hovering between $84/bbl and $85/bbl. The team discuss the nature of the oil market, what's going on with Dated Brent, volatility, US jet fuel demand, and the upcoming US election debate. Not to mention, Jorge "The Regulator" weighs in on the current st…
  continue reading
 
Group Head of Research Harry Tchilinguirian sits down with Research Analyst Harry Nedeljkovic to discuss the latest macroeconomic news, risks, and trends. They analyse recent Chinese industrial production and retail sales data, which shows China's industrial production printing below expectations in May, at 5.6% year-on-year, while at 3.7%, retail …
  continue reading
 
For a special episode of World of Oil Derivatives, Group Chief Executive Greg Newman is joined by Managing Director of Benchmarking, Jorge Montepeque and Group Head of Research, Harry Tchilinguirian for a detailed discussion regarding global oil demand. Greg, Jorge, and Harry delve into the differing perspectives on oil demand from two major agenci…
  continue reading
 
We saw a very strong performance in crudethis week, with Brent futures already up to $84/bbl. The team discuss market dynamics, emphasizing the shift from deep contango to backwardation in crude structure. After a recent positional reset, the market appears more balanced, with summer demand looking healthy. The team go on to discuss the history of …
  continue reading
 
Today, Macro specialist James Brodie discusses last week's weaker than expected US economic data, as well as the more hawkish Federal Reserve, the U.S. central bank. Research Analyst, Harry Nedeljkovic weighs in on the up-coming French election, in addition to Argentina and especially their economic situation. Group Head of Research, Harry Tchiling…
  continue reading
 
Brent is back in the $80’s this week after a huge rebound and initial sell-off post-OPEC meeting. Crude flat prices are back to where we were pre-OPEC meeting, as the August contract fell to lows of $77/bbl before climbing all the way back up to $82/bbl this morning. The M1 refinery margins in Europe continue to weaken this week by nearly $0.35/bbl…
  continue reading
 
Macro-Economic Specialist James Brodie is joined by Onyx Research Analyst Harry Nedeljkovic to discuss what's been happening in the markets, including Friday's US pay roll data, The European elections over the weekend and the big moves in gold. James and Harry will also discuss the Trade of the week, EURUSD and GameStop. Friday's US payroll data sa…
  continue reading
 
Brent Futures have been extremely bearish following US markets open, dropping to $77/bbl Monday morning. It’s all about OPEC, as the meeting over the weekend saw existing voluntary cuts extended into September 2024. This move hinted at OPEC's willingness to bring back barrels to the market. However, doubts remain about compliance from certain membe…
  continue reading
 
NVIDIA and GameStop are back in the news headlines this week. On Monday morning we saw GameStop up 85% after hours in the overnight trading session. Keith Gill, aka Roaring Kitty, came out on Sunday night on his social media accounts to reveal that he owns $115.7 million of GameStop equity. NVIDIA is now 40% of the S&P growth this year. The Nasdaq …
  continue reading
 
Brent Futures have been volatile and rangebound this week, dropping to around $81/bbl and supported again over $84/bbl. With the OPEC meeting next week (and being held online), there's been conversation that Russia has overproduced oil output, but will be correcting lower after not adhering to the April quota due to over production. This audit will…
  continue reading
 
On today's show, James focuses on the stronger-than-expected US economic data, which has pushed yields higher. He also discusses the growing concerns around employment, the booming Indian economy, weakening UKL data, and unfortunate timing with the election looming. Some charts and trade ideas that James discusses include NVIDIA, Nasdaq, silver, co…
  continue reading
 
Group Chief Executive Officer, Greg Newman sits down with Group Chief Financial Officer, Andrew Chen to discuss the importance of people, leadership, planning, debt, investment and risk in scaling a business from a start up to a supersonic company. Greg and Andrew, both experts in their fields, dive into the psychology of what motivates individuals…
  continue reading
 
Crude futures climbed over the week, surpassing $84/bbl on Monday morning, which was the first weekly gain in 3 weeks. Heating oil and gas oil were the most negative in the refinery margin change this week. We saw strength come back into EBOB and Gasoil which has helped the products we look at in the swaps market in Europe see greater strength. Jam…
  continue reading
 
On today's show, James discusses the recent break out in the equity markets, and the huge surge higher in commodities with a particular focus on silver. Copper and Gold are at all-time highs and silver has broken out aggressively from of a key resistance level at $30, which previously acted as triple top. Nickle, Tin, Zinc, Aluminium and other meta…
  continue reading
 
Brent crude is consolidating around $82-83/bbl. The big story over the weekend was Iraq’s oil minister, Hayyan Abdul, saying on Saturday that Iraq would not agree to renew cuts, but flipped on Sunday, saying that Iraq will continue to cooperate with other member states about this cut. Looking to the refinery margins, spreads have collapsed with sto…
  continue reading
 
Welcome back to Macro Mondays with James Brodie - Trends, Risk & Analysis. On today's show James looks back on last week's disappointing data, this weeks upcoming CPI data, and key levels in markets, particularly looking at equities, fixed income and also gold. Precious metals are rallying again. The PBOC bought gold for 18th straight month in Apri…
  continue reading
 
If you would like to access our free comprehensive monthly oil report as mentioned in the podcast, click here: https://www.onyxhub.co/dashboards/oil-market-report-may/ In last week's podcast, we had started to see pressure in the crude futures contracts, and we've slid to a new low of this cycle today at $82.30/bbl. Refinery margins were the major …
  continue reading
 
Welcome back to the third episode of Macro Mondays with James Brodie - Trends, Risk & Analysis. On today's show James discusses softening economic data out of the US, where there are murmurs of stagflation, the less hawkish Fed Chairman Powell and the weaker than expected employment data. He also examines the big movers for this week. USDJPY with 2…
  continue reading
 
Brent futures opened at $87.50 per barrel, seeing a $1 decrease due to promising ceasefire negotiations, with a Hamas delegate heading to Cairo on Monday. The market is rather sanguine on geopolitical risk, and has been de-risking over the past week, with open interest in ETFs seeing a substantial decline. Looking to the refinery margin changes, th…
  continue reading
 
Welcome back to the second episode of Macro Mondays with James Brodie - Trends, Risk & Analysis. On today's show James discusses recent mixed economic data out of the US, OIS pricing and the Yen volatility. He also dives into what's happening with gold, silver, tech and equity markets. Looking at recent employment data, James explains that although…
  continue reading
 
Looking at the past week, the oil market was too long and had to de-risk. Brent Futures saw a week of stagnation and mean reversion, $90/bbl oil was very short lived and sell-off was driven by speculative positioning cycles as market participants took off length amid a waning geopolitical premium. Looking to the refinery margin change, Dated Brent …
  continue reading
 
Onyx Capital Group is proud to launch a brand new show; Macro Monday's with James Brodie - Trends, Risk & Analysis. On today's show James discusses recent strong economic data out of the US, OIS pricing and the US dollar strength. He also dives into what's happening with gold, silver and equity markets. It seems like tech stocks are crashing at the…
  continue reading
 
Off the back of another tense week with the recent attacks by Iran on Israel, Greg, Jorge, James and Martha discuss the impact (or, lack thereof) the event had on oil prices. As a bonus for this episode, Jorge and Martha will provide a trade idea each! There was a muted response for Brent futures, with prices oscillating around $90/bbl, opening on …
  continue reading
 
Prices were around $89/bbl last week, but since then there's been a noticeable uptick - not quite reaching $92/bbl and oscillating around $90/bbl since. Refinery margins have weakened, with refined products struggling - with the exception of gasoline. Gasoil is extremely weak, with poor distillate performance in all regions. EBOB has seen greater s…
  continue reading
 
Brent Futures have made a notable climb since last week, hitting $89/bbl on Tuesday morning. It's crucial to analyse the impact of recent developments on oil demand. Notably, both China and the USA have seen expansions in manufacturing activity, marking significant milestones. What has been the impact of headlines regarding tighter supply and the p…
  continue reading
 
Brent futures surged to $87.70 last week, only to encounter resistance and profit-taking flows, settling this week at a sturdy $85-86/bbl range. Macroeconomic factors and persistent supply concerns are pivotal in sustaining these levels. Refinery margins face widespread pressure across regions, while the gasoil market sentiment remains subdued amid…
  continue reading
 
In another episode of our Onyx Leadership series, Group CEO Greg Newman is joined by Co-Head of Light Ends, Jasper Bird. Jasper and Greg shed light on the realities of being a Trader, how egos can play a part in trading, and uncover the inner workings of a trader's mentality. They delve into the highs and lows of trading and the challenges of maint…
  continue reading
 
With Group CEO Greg Newman abroad, Light Ends Direct Trader James Todd steps up to host World of Oil Derivatives for another market update episode. Since last week, Brent Futures price rallied from sub $83/bbl this week to over $87.50/bbl yesterday. The breakout from its previous range came on the back of a flurry of bullish headlines - including d…
  continue reading
 
Crude flat price has been remarkably neutral in the past week, sitting around $82/bbl (slightly down from $83/bbl). However, the market has found a genuine equilibrium - a price level where everyone seems happy. Looking to the refinery margin, Naphtha showed significant strength with the MOPJ crack for April exceeding -$5/bbl, while Mar/Apr in the …
  continue reading
 
Oil markets are all of a sudden kicking into gear, and it seems we are now on that highway to the danger zone. With every market indicator of the underlying physical market strong, and forward derivative prices indicating that this will last for some time, the only thing left to truly perform is the outright price. Will this carry through? And will…
  continue reading
 
It's been another rangebound, albeit less bullish week in Brent futures. Crude prices came off from around $84/bbl. down to the low 80s, where it found some support on Monday. As for the refinery margin change, Dated Brent is significantly weaker. There were some significant moves in gasoline and gasoil. The latter saw a real weakness in prices ami…
  continue reading
 
This episode is a second sneak peek into the upcoming book: The Law of ESG Derivatives: risk, uncertainty and sustainable finance (Routledge, 2024). It examines the impact of ESG derivatives on sustainability goals. It explores how these financial instruments can align investment strategies with ESG principles to drive positive environmental and so…
  continue reading
 
In a special episode of our Onyx Leadership podcast series, Group CEO Greg Newman sits down with Jorge Montepeque, the new Managing Director - Benchmarking. Jorge, an industry legend, pioneered oil pricing by introducing benchmarks, revolutionising communication across different sites worldwide. When Greg first started trading, most traders relied …
  continue reading
 
It's been a bullish week for crude flat price this week and has been supported above $80 levels, reaching a peak of $85.50, which is seemingly finding resistance at current levels. However, overall market sentiment has been quite bullish from both hedge funds and speculators alike. As for refinery margins; there's been a week-on-week decline of nea…
  continue reading
 
Last week, Brent crude flat price rallied, pushing up over $80/bbl and staying there since then. The rejected ceasefire deal on Feb 06 supported this bullish momentum. We've seen strength across refinery margins - particularly in Europe - with a notable rally in product prices, including strong bidding in the physical market. Greg, Martha, and Jame…
  continue reading
 
Brent futures softened from over $80 last week, to stabalise around $78/bbl on Feb 6. Geopolitically, tensions persist in the Middle East with ongoing conflicts and ceasefire talks proving elusive. Despite positive economic indicators, market enthusiasm appears lacking, reflected in WTI spreads in contango and a rangebound regime across the crude c…
  continue reading
 
First sneak peak of the upcoming book: ‘ The Law of ESG Derivatives: Risk, Uncertainty and Sustainable Finance’ to be published by Routledge during the first semester of 2024. This book weaves together a comprehensive legal analysis of sustainable finance regimes governing Environment, Social and Governance (ESG) derivatives, with insightful sociol…
  continue reading
 
Brent futures spent most of the week with prices typically above $80 per barrel, recording a second week of gains. Geopolitical risk premiums strengthened, and positive economic news from the US, along with promising developments in China, contributed to the positive sentiment. As for refinery margins, it's been a positive week, with products drivi…
  continue reading
 
Brent futures saw sub $77/bbl levels on 17 Jan after poor economic data from China saw the GDP rise by 5.2% in Q4 compared to the forecast of 5.3%. CFTC data for the week to Jan 16, (in Brent futures) saw a continuation of a more bullish sentiment, with bullish speculators adding almost 15mbbls (+5%) of length, whilst their bearish counterparts dec…
  continue reading
 
Onyx Director Jonah Van Bourg discusses his extremely eventful career thus far with CEO Greg Newman. From how his experience working at Goldman Sachs and Vitol, to working on the floor on Lehman Brother's floor, in the midst of the biggest bankruptcy in American history. Jonah discusses his experience in crypto trading and sheds light on how crypto…
  continue reading
 
Loading …

Panduan Referensi Cepat