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Konten disediakan oleh Jeff Snider. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh Jeff Snider atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang diuraikan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.
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Eurodollar University
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Konten disediakan oleh Jeff Snider. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh Jeff Snider atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang diuraikan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.
Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.
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continue reading
1089 episode
Tandai semua (belum/sudah) diputar ...
Manage series 2679639
Konten disediakan oleh Jeff Snider. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh Jeff Snider atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang diuraikan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.
Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.
…
continue reading
1089 episode
Semua episode
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Eurodollar University


1 URGENT: The Bond Market JUST Flashed a MAJOR Warning 21:08
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If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ LT rates are up and you know what that means: get ready for a flood of claims deficits suddenly now matter. They don't (sadly), at least not for bonds, and we know they don't because not all the yield curve maturities are seeing selling. The one spot on the curve you always want to watch is sending another major warning, and it isn't too many Treasuries. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 You Won’t Believe What Global Banks JUST Did 21:07
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We have more confirmation of a huge and unusual rise in bank lending to this offshore category. It parallels other similar corroboration which raises several thorny issues, leaving us with two broad interpretations for what this really means. With new data becoming available, it raises the stakes for a possible next time. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 You Won’t Believe What the Swiss Central Bank Just Said 20:24
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If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ While we wait to see if the Swiss National Bank opts for zero or negative policy rates next month, its chief Martin Schlegel had a lot to say yesterday about a range of topics, including negative prices, Treasury bonds, and global risks. Jamie Dimon then today chimed in today cautioning that stocks and risk markets are ready for heightened credit risks. One reason why is volatility in repo, where TIC data shows a huge increasing in offshore resales heading into everything April. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg Dimon Warns Markets Are Underestimating Geopolitical, Inflation Risks https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/jpmorgan-s-dimon-warns-against-complacency-amid-mounting-risks Bloomberg Swiss Inflation Risks Falling Below Zero in Individual Months This Year, Schlegel Says https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/snb-chief-sees-subzero-inflation-in-individual-months-this-year Bloomberg SNB President Schlegel Sees No Alternative to US Treasuries https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/snb-president-schlegel-sees-no-alternative-to-us-treasuries Bloomberg Singapore Central Bank Chief Says US Dollar Assets Irreplaceable https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-20/singapore-central-bank-chief-says-us-dollar-assets-irreplaceable https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 URGENT: U.S. Credit Debt Just Got Downgraded, Is a Crash Next?In a late Friday news dump, Moody's announced it had downgraded U.S. federal government debt. The news sparked a selloff in Treasuries,… 21:09
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In a late Friday news dump, Moody's announced it had downgraded U.S. federal government debt. The news sparked a selloff in Treasuries, at least initially. What are the implications for bonds or the economy? It's not what the mainstream thinks it does. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg What the US Losing Its Last AAA Credit Rating Means https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/us-lost-moody-s-aaa-credit-rating-what-s-at-stake-for-markets S&P Global August 5, 2011 https://disclosure.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/sourceId/6802837 Fitch August 1, 2023 https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-united-states-long-term-ratings-to-aa-from-aaa-outlook-stable-01-08-2023 https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 Japan JUST Entered a Recession And It's Quickly Spreading Worldwide 19:01
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Japan did indeed fall back into recession in the first quarter before the tariff shock even had a chance to hit the economy, and positing a deeper negative GDP print than expected. Like everywhere else, the setback is being led largely by consumers. At the same time, American consumer confidence fell to another shocking low rather than rebound with trade deals and a rebounding stock market. Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 Everything You’ve Been Told About the Great Depression Is Wrong 19:47
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It’s still known as Black Tuesday almost a century later. In October 1929, the stock market crashes and plunges the world into the Great Depression. At least that’s what we’ve been told and what we all believe. But then why didn’t the Crash of 1987 lead to Great Depression 2? I mean, it didn’t even slow the economy down. Or the dot-com crash. Something is missing. As it turns out, there's a lot missing and so this is the first installment to fill in what Economics leaves out, or plain gets wrong. Eurodollar University's Make it Make Cents https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ It was a trifecta of disinflation disaster in today's numbers, with Walmart adding to the woes with its own deteriorating environment. Retail sales were more than soft, industrial output fell, but most concerning prices fell sharply - including wholesale services costs crashing the most on record. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Walmart Q1 earnings https://corporate.walmart.com/content/dam/corporate/documents/newsroom/2025/05/15/walmart-releases-q1-fy26-earnings/q1-fy26-earnings-release.pdf CNN Walmart warns it will raise prices because of tariffs https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/15/business/walmart-prices-tariffs CNBC Walmart CFO says price hikes from tariffs could start later this month, as retailer beats on earnings https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/15/walmart-wmt-q1-2026-earnings.html Bloomberg US Retail Sales Barely Rise, Suggesting Some Spending Pullback https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-15/us-retail-sales-barely-rise-suggesting-some-spending-pullback Bloomberg US Producer Prices Fell Unexpectedly in April as Margins Shrank https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-15/us-producer-prices-fall-unexpectedly-as-margins-decline Reuters US manufacturing output falls in April on weak auto production https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/us-manufacturing-output-falls-april-weak-auto-production-2025-05-15/ https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 The Most Dangerous Economic Story No One Is Talking About 21:02
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Chinese banks cut lending - by a lot - in April, completing the defensive story seen in banking systems all around the world. However, China's is unique in several key aspects, starting with what authorities have been doing trying to change this. The reason why it has come to this for Chinese banks really is not what everyone believes. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg Why China Is Hoping $1.6 Trillion Can Fix Its Hidden Debt Problem https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-16/china-economy-can-1-6-trillion-help-solve-xi-s-hidden-debt-problem Rueters China's property 'whitelist' lifeline stutters amid sector gloom https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-property-whitelist-lifeline-stutters-amid-sector-gloom-2024-05-14/ https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


Microsoft announced another round of layoffs. Coming from a company that isn't struggling nearly as much as most, it's an ominous sign. The April CPI shows why and not just for Microsoft. It instead aligns with the biggest problem in the economy, and that's not inflation which was absent from the report despite the start of tariffs. A surprise to Economists, but not to BED. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis CNBC Microsoft laying off about 6,000 people, or 3% of its workforce https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/13/microsoft-is-cutting-3percent-of-workers-across-the-software-company.html Bloomberg Softer-Than-Expected Inflation Points to Muted Tariff Fallout https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-13/us-inflation-comes-in-softer-than-forecast-for-another-month BLS BED/BDM https://www.bls.gov/bdm/bdmover.htm https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 The Ridiculous Real story Behind the Tariff Deal 20:58
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If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ Re-risking accelerated on Wall Street and for many other markets; even bond yields rose. The thinking is if trade wars broke everything, then trade deals fix it. However, the US and China don't have one, And that's only the first of several key misimpressions - starting with the 2018 example. Like then, the incoming data doesn't align with "trade wars broke it." Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Joint Statement on U.S.-China Economic and Trade Meeting in Geneva https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/05/joint-statement-on-u-s-china-economic-and-trade-meeting-in-geneva/ Bloomberg US, China to Slash Tariffs During 90-Day Reprieve for Talks https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-12/us-and-china-agree-to-major-reductions-in-tariffs-for-90-days Bloomberg Japan Rules Out Trade Deal With US That Excludes Auto Tariffs https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-12/japan-s-ishiba-says-won-t-do-trade-deal-with-us-excluding-autos SCMP China’s consumer prices fall in April, fuelling fears of deflation https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3309834/chinas-consumer-prices-fall-april-fuelling-fears-deflation https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 Government Report Reveals A LOT of People Are About to Lose Their Jobs 19:48
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What's in a single number? For this one, a whole lot of confirmation plus warning. Consumer sentiment has famously crashed and this one figure holds the key to why. Everything else that's happening comes down to this single deficiency. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 WARNING: Canada’s Job Market Just COLLAPSED 16:35
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Canadian payrolls were dismal in April, including the biggest two-month collapse in private jobs since the lockdowns. It isn't just sentiment. While pessimism has soared, results from around the real economy is backing that up with hard data. Not just Canada, also Mexico. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Jeremy Rudd Why Do We Think That Inflation Expectations Matter for Inflation? (And Should We?) https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2021062pap.pdf Transcript Chair Powell Press Conference May 2025 https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20250507.pdf Bloomberg Canada Joblessness Hits 6.9% as Tariffs Strike Manufacturing https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-09/canada-adds-7-400-jobs-unemployment-jumps-to-6-9 Bank of Canada Financial Stability Report 2025 https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2025/05/financial-stability-report-2025/ SPG Canada Manufacturing PMI April 2025 https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/487ca2cba7784b86aa9d9df3a315d744 SPG Canada Services PMI April 2025 https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/4c356ce1148c420fbee728307ef2b2dc https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 The Bank of England Just Sent a MASSIVE Warning to the World 23:17
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Former hardcore hawk, the Bank of England pulled ahead of the Federal Reserve by rejoining the global race to the bottom. And it did so with what is being called a weird three-way split. The split was neither weird nor much of one. Instead what BoE did - and why - has already shown up here in the US. The latest confirmation comes from the Fed's very own data where job fears have exploded for the same reason(s) BoE is acting. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bank of England MPR May 2025 https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-report/2025/may-2025 FOMC Chair May 2025 press conference https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8oX4RCJJXAM https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20250507.pdf https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 NEW Report Shows Global Banks Are Dangerously Overexposed to Risk 22:34
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If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ Insiders are looking for the exits. Short selling sharks are circling. Regulated banks are majorly exposed to this credit segment, another one deep within the shadows. Could this explain why market signals remain near or at extremes? From swap spreads to gold ratios, there is deflationary everywhere in them and credit default swaps have cast their blame specifically toward banks. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg Short Sellers Bet Against Private Credit Lenders https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-03/short-sellers-bet-against-private-credit-lenders-credit-weekly IMF Global Financial Stability Report April 2025 https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/GFSR/Issues/2025/04/22/global-financial-stability-report-april-2025 IMF Private Credit https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/04/08/fast-growing-USD2-trillion-private-credit-market-warrants-closer-watch https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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Eurodollar University


1 Credit Default Swaps Are SURGING, Here's What You Need To Know 19:42
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US sovereign CDS prices are soaring, not relenting after jumping during April. While mainstream sources will say that's this dollar-ditching stuff, neither the track record for CDS nor empirical evidence agrees. Government credit default swap premiums are set by one factor, and it has everything to do with the banking system. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Sovereign and bank CDS spreads: two sides of the same coin? https://www.ucd.ie/geary/static/publications/workingpapers/gearywp201402.pdf MSCI The CDS Market’s View on US Default https://www.msci.com/www/blog-posts/the-cds-market-s-view-on-us/03820087801 Bloomberg Oaktree Co-CEO Sees Private Credit Trades as Low as 50 Cents https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-02/oaktree-s-o-leary-says-deep-discounts-arising-in-private-credit https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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