The Risk Takers podcast

Player FM - Internet Radio Done Right

Menambahkan two tahun yang lalu

Konten disediakan oleh GoldenPants13. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh GoldenPants13 atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang diuraikan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.

Skip Intro

1
Louis Partridge (House of Guinness) 44:34

7 hari yang lalu44:34

Putar Nanti

Daftar

Suka

Menyukai

44:34

Skip Intro comes to New York this week to talk to Louis Partridge of Enola Holmes fame. Partridge takes on the role of Edward Guinness in the new series House of Guinness . He also stars as Wickham in Netflix’s upcoming Pride & Prejudice adaptation, as well as the younger Billy Crudup character in Noah Baumbach’s Jay Kelly . The 22-year-old actor shares what it was like to meet his first casting director, playing rugby and being mischievous in school, and his girlfriend’s funny American accent. Video episodes available on Still Watching Netflix YouTube Channel. Listen to more from Netflix Podcasts .…

The Risk Takers Podcast

Beranda serial•Feed

Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports betting

https://www.goldenpants.com/

124 episode

#Sports #GoldenPants13 #Sports Betting #Trading #Lifestyle #Business #Games and Gambling

The Risk Takers Podcast

updated sehari yang lalu

Beranda serial•Feed

Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports betting

https://www.goldenpants.com/

124 episode

#Sports #GoldenPants13 #Sports Betting #Trading #Lifestyle #Business #Games and Gambling

All episodes

1
Failed Betting Projects & Kalshi Parlays | Ep 124 1:49:18

1 day yang lalu1:49:18

1:49:18

This episode SP and GP go over a few of the betting projects they started building that never came to fruition. The news is dominated by prediction markets - with a breakdown of the parlay product that Kalshi is offering. And we hit a few listener questions at the end! 0:00 Intro 4:00 Failed betting projects 38:00 News 1:26:00 Listener Questions Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Beat Big Markets & Bottom Up Live Betting w/ Ant DeRosa | Ep 123 2:23:25

8 hari yang lalu2:23:25

2:23:25

This episode we have on a true legend in the space, Ant DeRosa. Ant worked as a trader at some of the sharpest offshore books before switching sides of the counter and building one of the most successful betting groups currently operating. From dealing with line manipulation to the details behind finding alpha live that you won't see on an odds screen, this has it all. We even get dragged into talking about the ethics around angle shooting and where the line is at the end! This is a can't miss episode if you have any aspirations of betting at the highest levels. Follow Ant on Twitter: https://x.com/DeRosa_Antonino 0:00 Intro 2:30 Magic the Gathering & Start w/ Pinnacle 17:30 Trading at a Sharp Book 42:15 Switching to Betting 47:15 Bottom Up Live Betting 1:05:00 Scaling a Betting Group 1:44:00 Q&A and Hot Takes Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Most Important Lessons from Our Recent Guests | Ep 122 1:37:31

16 hari yang lalu1:37:31

1:37:31

This week we debrief on some of the most important, common threads that ran through our interviews with our recent guests. Why are the vibes based approaches not that far from the data driven? Is anyone really a specialist? Why did three guests say no one can get more out of an account than them? All of this plus news and Q&A - Enjoy! 0:00 Intro 2:30 Account Maxxing as a Superpower 10:20 Operations Over Everything 18:30 Specialist or Generalist? 25:00 Model Doesn't Need to Be Complicated 37:30 No Main Markets 41:00 News 1:01:50 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Building an Unexploitable Betting & Trolling Strategy w/ The Shipper | Ep 121 2:14:43

23 hari yang lalu2:14:43

2:14:43

Today we have on at times one of our harshest critics and at other times our biggest cheerleader, The Shipper (@shipthejustice on Twitter) Shipper is that rare person who was successful as a trader at a book and then as a professional bettor. This experience makes him one of the go to experts on the topics of account longevity, priming, and maxing account value. This episode he presents a compelling case for why you should have a poker-style bluffing strategy for betting, talks on why the retweet is the perfect troll, and explains why everything sucks now and it was better before. 00:00:00 Intro 00:02:40 Tales from the PointsBet Trading Floor 00:23:50 Priming and Max Account Value 00:41:45 Why it's Better to Have a Partner 00:49:10 Build Your Own Models 01:00:30 Rorts! 01:11:00 Twitter Trolling & Sharp Content 01:22:00 PMs, Exchanges & State of the Industry 01:45:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Why Tracking Bets the Right Way Makes You Money & Some Great Q&A | Ep 120 1:52:52

30 hari yang lalu1:52:52

1:52:52

SP says that there may be nothing more predictive of whether someone is a winning bettor than how diligently they track their bets. Is tracking your bets a magic pill that makes anyone profitable? It's not magic - but there are a lot of alpha generating benefits of tracking that go along with the important accounting hygiene and performance measuring. 00:00 – Why Track Your Bets? 05:00 – Taxes & Record Keeping 07:00 – Performance Measurement 16:00 – Alpha Generation & Model Insights 33:00 – Exchanges & DFS Use Cases 44:00 – News Roundup 1:09:00 – Listener Questions Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Vibes-Based Tennis Betting & CNN Stardom w/ Isaac Rose-Berman | Ep 119 2:12:59

5 weeks yang lalu2:12:59

2:12:59

This week we interview a man who wears many hats. TV Star, Tennis Bettor, and Author Isaac Rose-Berman. You may know him from the CNN gambling documentary, you may know him as roundrobin42 on twitter, or you may have seen him on Circle Back. But on this show we go deep into his betting first - learning a lot about betting tennis on the way. After that we have a discussion on news/ industry topics where one person (Isaac) actually knows what he's talking about. 0:00 Intro to Advantage Gambling 9:00 Tennis Betting for Fun and Profit 27:30 How to Track Your Subjective Adjustments 36:45 Finding Good Non-Major Markets 41:30 What's Next in Betting for Isaac? 48:00 Isaac's Writing/ Consulting 1:02:30 News 1:20:40 Q&A Isaac's Newsletter: https://howgamblingworks.substack.com/ Isaac's Twitter: https://x.com/roundrobin42 Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Sports Betting Simulations, CNN Gambling Doc & TSwift Engagement Insider Trading | Ep 118 2:03:26

6 weeks yang lalu2:03:26

2:03:26

Regardless of if you think we are in a simulation or not - there is no denying that simulations can make you money sports betting. GP & SP breakdown what a simulation model is, when you should use it, and how you can get started with your own sim this sports season. We get a little technical early - but don't worry, we get really un-technical in the news and Q&A (ending with an actual discussion about sports). 00:00: Intro 02:00: Simulations vs. Models in Sports Betting 50:00: The CNN Gambling Documentary 01:08:00: Prediction Market Rundown w/ TSwift Inside Trading 01:26:00: DraftKings Stops Credit Card Deposits & More News 01:29:30: Q&A + Bayesian Updates Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Building a "Scheme Team" w/ Dr. Plop | Ep 117 2:10:32

7 weeks yang lalu2:10:32

2:10:32

We are joined by Casino AP turned Sports Bettor Dan aka Dr. Plop. Dan talks to us about getting into advantage play by multi-accounting Instacart signup bonuses. Then his journey continues through blackjack, slots, churn plays and finally ends up at "about 70%" sports betting. Dan now runs a team of 4 that at any moment could be sitting at an electronic horse racing machine or betting six-figures on sports. Like a degen Oceans 11! Follow Dan on Twitter: https://x.com/DrPL0P 00:00:45 – Instacart Advantage Play 00:13:40 – AP Lessons Applied to Sportsbooks 00:30:31 – Making the Switch to Sports 00:52:27 – Logistics & Scaling 01:15:45 – News 01:47:19 – Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Scaling an Edge, NoVig Raises $18 Million & Polymarket Taps the Glass | Ep 116 2:24:00

8 weeks yang lalu2:24:00

2:24:00

Find an amazing edge yet still poor? If so - this episode aims to help you correct that. Along with advice on scaling an edge (including SP's vertical v. horizontal scaling lesson) - we break down a big week of industry news and field some questions regarding Kalshi, working with a group and GPs return to twitter. 00:00 Live from Las Vegas – First Impressions 02:15 Scaling an Edge: The Most Valuable Skill in Betting 04:33 Vertical vs. Horizontal Scaling – Two Paths to Growth 08:45 Operational Efficiency & The Big Spot Decision 17:09 Applying Skills Across Sports & Markets 29:05 Industry News – Ohio Micro-Bet Ban & Pinnacle API Shutdown 1:17:49 Venmo “Gambling” Scandal & Rule vs. Integrity Violations 1:22:50 Illinois Surcharge Tax, No-Vig Launch & Exchange Betting 1:32:20 Listener Q&A & Book Recommendations 2:04:15 Closing Thoughts – Staying Ahead of the Next Edge Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
"I predict the injury report" - Pro NBA Bettor CalvinAndHobo Joins | Ep 115 2:16:11

9 weeks yang lalu2:16:11

2:16:11

NBA prop crusher Calvin (CalvinandHobo) joins the show this week to talk about what it takes to win as a ball-knower who doesn't have a model. Calvin had an interesting journey into professional betting that included becoming a cult hero on JuiceReel before he had to stop posting picks once he won too much and gained too many followers. (He explains why this is a big problem) Calvin doesn't model - but puts in insane hours of research to understand rotations, coach speak and injury predictions. While some bettors rush to bet the injury report - he predicts it. Calvin on Twitter: https://x.com/CalvinAndHobo 0:00 - Intro/ Calvin's start betting 9:35 – Inside Calvin’s NBA Prop Betting Process 14:00 – Coach Honesty Rankings & Rotation Intel 20:00 – Why Player Props > Sides & Totals 32:00 – Scaling Up, Quitting the Job & Betting Partnerships 41:00 – Turning Down Tout Life & Ethics of Selling Picks 52:00 – Future of NBA Props & Growth via Volume + SGPs 59:30 – Gambling Legislation, Kalshi & Tax Debate 1:20:30 – Listener Q&A, Dead Edges & Final Reflections Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Networking w/ Winning Sports Bettors (it's not as bad as it sounds) | Ep 114 2:14:20

10 weeks yang lalu2:14:20

2:14:20

Unfortunately...talking to other people and being social can be really +EV In this episode we help by giving a dive deep into the how and why of building strong partnerships in the sports betting world. From meeting the right people and forming a core team, to scaling through network effects, online presence, and industry events like BetBash — we cover the strategies, pitfalls, and real-world experiences behind successful collaboration. Plus, we form opinions on key headlines around betting scandals and gambling laws that are very loosely researched then answer your questions. One of the questions involves how to get your wife to like you - so if you need help there it's covered. 03:00 Origin Story & Starting the Betting Partnership 09:45 Going Solo vs. Teaming Up Early 16:00 Expanding the Team & Building a Network 21:00 Growing an Online Presence 30:00 Best Practices for Networking & Outreach 44:00 Plans for BetBash & Guest Recruiting 49:30 News (You can get limited in PvP) 1:20:00 – Listener Questions: Strategy, Partnerships, Music & More Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Krushing Kalshi w/ Chris "Flupnolide" Dierkes (and Edge Graveyard) | Ep 113 2:21:53

11 weeks yang lalu2:21:53

2:21:53

We are joined by Chris "Flupnolide" Dierkes - the most profitable bettor on Kalshi this month and a professional bettor not afraid to bet huge on great spots. Chris talks about scaling his betting from being a solo-bettor using OddsJam to running one of the bigger groups in operation. He also enjoys mixing it up on Twitter under the handle @flupnolide where you can find him posting some of the biggest bets that hit the exchanges. If you don't listen to this episode you must not like putting down big money on huge edges! Chris on Twitter: https://x.com/flupnolide 0:00 Intro & Start of Betting 11:30 Rundown of Flup's Operation 22:00 Flup's Superpower: Account Priming 39:00 Benefit of Winning Circa Survivor 44:45 Why do content? 53:45 $300k Sinner Bet 1:00:00 Gambling Twitter 0 Poker IQ 1:06:00 Edge Graveyard 1:29:00 Everything Prediction Markets 2:05:00 Hot Takes & Bayesian Updates Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Blow Your Offseason? Pay the Price!! & DK Prediction Market Move | Ep 112 1:56:04

12 weeks yang lalu1:56:04

1:56:04

After two weeks of bad news - the boys start to feel some hope this episode and explain how they have improved their betting during breaks in their sports. With the sports calendar at its lightest, they dig into why the offseason is a high-leverage window for bettors to optimize their workflows, trim dead weight, and tackle big projects. From cleaning code and cutting distractions to poking around new betting markets, they share how smart time use now sets you up for a stronger fall. 00:00 – Offseason Mindset 06:30 – Cut, Clean, Optimize 14:00 – Big Projects That Pay Off 22:00 – Poking Around New Markets 33:30 – Learning, Documentation & Skill Building 48:00 – Industry News & What’s Next Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
90% Trouble: How the New Tax Law Hits Gamblers w/ Gary Kondler | Ep 111 1:50:28

13 weeks yang lalu1:50:28

1:50:28

Are you relying on twitter to tell you if you should quite gambling or not following the gambling tax disaster in the BBB? In this episode we sit down with Gary Kondler of Kondler & Associates - the gambling industry leading tax and consulting firm - to discuss the changes in the bill. From the myths that exploded on Twitter to the real-life tax nightmares facing poker pros, slot whales, and DFS grinders, Gary walks us through exactly what’s changing, who’s most at risk, and how to protect yourself. Whether you're a solo bettor, a casual casino-goer, or part of a syndicate, this episode could save you thousands—and a major audit headache. Kondler & Associates: https://kondlercpa.com/ 00:00 – The Big Change: Understanding the BBB Bill 09:00 – Real Tax Impact: Examples That Hurt 21:00 – Filing as a Pro vs. Amateur 36:00 – Sessions Method, W2Gs & Audit Risk 51:00 – State-Level Chaos & Planning for 2026 1:12:00 - GP & SP React & Speculate Wildly Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

1
Gambling State of the Union (Be like bugs and SURVIVE) | Ep 110 2:01:36

14 weeks yang lalu2:01:36

2:01:36

This week, GP and SP go deep on what's arguably the most pivotal week for the gambling world in years. From legislative crackdowns and lawsuits to tax chaos and rigging scandals, the crew delivers a comprehensive State of the Union for sports betting and its gray-market cousins. If you care about betting—legally, professionally, or recreationally—this is a must-listen. 0:00 – Opening Thoughts & Why This Episode Exists 5:30 – New Jersey Proxy Betting Bill 20:30 – The Sweeps Crackdown 29:30 – Prediction Markets: The New Gray Market Darling 38:30 – Underdog vs. California? 55:30 – The Federal Tax Bomb That Could Kill Sports Betting 1:08:30 – Malik Beasley’s Sketchy Rebounds Line Movement 1:15:30 – Fanatics Passes on Illinois Tax Hike (to You) 1:18:30 – SP’s “Bug” Speech 1:20:30 – Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
Flaming Hot Sharp Betting Takes II & News We Got Wrong | Ep 109 2:02:46

15 weeks yang lalu2:02:46

2:02:46

We’re so back with part two of Flaming Hot Sharp Sports Betting Takes ! We offer some preeeety spicy opinions on: Why executing an edge beats finding one Embracing high-hold markets and "one-way" bets The value of betting first, asking questions later Why hating touts is no longer cool Whether being a pro bettor is a legit data science career Why going public with your gambling identity can pay off And… how much money it would take for us to quit betting forever? 00:00 – Intro 01:30 – Hot Take: Execution > Finding Edges 12:00 – Hot Take: High Hold = High Opportunity 21:00 – Hot Take: Bet First, Ask Questions Later 32:00 – Hot Take: Hating Touts Isn’t Cool Anymore 40:00 – Hot Take: Pro Betting is Good Data Science Job 44:00 – Hot Take: Why Being Public Helps 58:00 – News Roundup (Poker Scandal, FanDuel, CA Ban) 01:16:00 – Q&A: Working with Mules 01:36:00 – Q&A: How Much to Quit Betting Forever? 01:43:00 – Q&A: Model Graveyard + Project Ideas 02:01:00 – Teaser: Bayesian Update of the Week Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
Bet Like a Bayesian & SP's DraftKings Beef | Ep 108 2:07:43

16 weeks yang lalu2:07:43

2:07:43

This week we learn how to make more money gambling from the lessons of "The Reverend" Thomas Bayes. His theorem is the backbone of every successful sports bettor (even if they don't know it). This week we walk through examples of priors, posteriors and general Bayesian betting hygiene. It's more electric than it sounds! Andrew Mack's Book: Amazon 0:00 Bayesian Thinking Intro 10:05 Bayes in Sports Betting 51:23 News 1:07:30 SP v. DK Pick6 1:18:45 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
From the Yankees and Google to a Pro Gambler w/ Akash | Ep 107 2:09:41

17 weeks yang lalu2:09:41

2:09:41

Second guest episode of the SP era - with a guy living the dream. Akash worked in the front offices of the New York Yankees and Miami Dolphins as well as a Google data scientist before leaving it all behind to be a full-time bettor. This builds on our recent modeling episodes as we take a jump from simple/ regression based models into the AI/ML blackbox. You can find Akash in the GP Discord under the name joshroyale 00:00 Show Intro 01:50 Yankees Front Office 11:05 Transition from Sports Analytics to Betting 23:30 Data Pipelines, Friction Reduction and Useful Features 39:45 AI vs. Pro Sports Bettor 49:50 Modeling Philosophy: Transparency vs. Black Boxes 1:11:35 Handling Downswings and Model Validation 1:17:00 News Roundup: IL Tax, FanDuel Ban, Polymarket x Twitter 1:30:50 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
How to Turn Your Projections into Probabilities (Distributions) & Poker Cheating Scandal | Ep 106 2:07:54

18 weeks yang lalu2:07:54

2:07:54

Have you ever projected a player to get 23.2 points and wondered if under 24.5 -115 was a +EV bet? The answer to this question and more can be found in this magic, exciting, adrenaline pumping thing called...distributions! This week the lads follow up their episode on making your own numbers with an episode on how to turn those numbers into probabilities. And the news section gets very speculative as GP returns to gambling twitter to research a story that intersects the sports betting and poker worlds. 0:00 Intro 3:50 Distributions 1:02:31 Illinois Tax Hike 1:18:44 Poker Scandal 1:39:33 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
How to Start Modeling Sports & Are OddsJam Customers -EV? | Ep 105 2:07:10

19 weeks yang lalu2:07:10

2:07:10

Feeling overwhelmed when considering the jump from +EV betting to building your own model? We don't blame you. The little content there is out there on how to get started makes it sound impossible. But the reality is, in the beginning, it's rather straightforward. In this episode, the boys help you get started with your first sports betting model before getting into the news and Q&A 0:00 Intro 2:30 How to Build Sports Models 55:51 News 1:15:30 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
DFS School for Sports Bettors & Every Winning Bettor is a Cheater? | Ep 104 1:51:51

20 weeks yang lalu1:51:51

1:51:51

GP slowly realizes he's a DFS fish as he recaps his high stakes PGA Championship lineup building strategy to SP. SP breaks down what a winning sports bettor needs to do to win in DFS (and vice-versa) SP then weighs in on Underdog allowing RTA following GP's rant last episode and the boys discuss why the state of Wyoming determined anyone who wins betting is a cheater. Questions range from how did the hosts learn to model to if SPs DraftKings VIP vacation is real? 0:00 How to Win at DFS 41:50 Underdog/ ETR RTA 2.0 1:00:27 Wyoming says you're a cheater 1:08:27 Q&A 1:11:15 Big liquidity on exchanges means...? 1:22:00 How did we learn how to model sports? 1:39:54 Is market efficiency inevitable? Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
GP Origin Story, Underdog Allows RTA & Why No Sponsors | Ep 103 1:46:06

21 weeks yang lalu1:46:06

1:46:06

GP flies solo this week and takes the opportunity to ramble on about his journey from mediocre poker player to pretty good sports bettor. (This includes a quick double-up on the signing bonus he got in business school) The news is dominated by the Real Time Assistance tool ETR released for Underdog best ball drafts. If you think that's the story - you're wrong. Because Underdog comes out and says they ALLOW this type of RTA in a move that blows the mind of anyone who's ever played online poker. Q&A then goes into why GP doesn't plug GP Picks+ on the pod and some other odds and ends. Remember - all things related to the podcast stem from the free discord at goldenpants.com 0:00 GP Origin Story 31:40 Key moments & lifestyle changes that lead to success 42:05 Underdog allows ETR's real-time assistance tool 1:04:00 Penn boardroom drama 1:09:00 What do you say you do for a living? 1:12:05 Why do you not plug GP Picks+? 1:26:40 How to find balance without set hours Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
Day in the Life of a Pro Degen & Making $50k a Year Without Scaling | Ep 102 2:04:23

22 weeks yang lalu2:04:23

2:04:23

This episode has it all. GP's childish morning routine, what music you should listen to while modeling, and some hot takes based on a cursory glance at the news. The Q&A is dominated by a great question at the end regarding how achievable year-over-year profits are by someone who never models or scales a betting group. Remember to join the discord (link below) if you want your question on a future episode. The discord is free and we answer almost every question - so hop and it participate in the show! 0:00 Day/ Week in Life of a Pro/Semi-Pro Bettor 39:39 AI beats Sean Perry, are we doomed? 48:07 Sweeps & prediction market update 1:09:00 Mass gaming wants to void Russia 1:18:35 Biggest leak of good bettors? 1:31:15 How to calc a middle? 1:37:37 Will Fliff pay & bet more to increase limits? 1:45:00 Can you make long-term money w/o model or betting group? Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
Account Longevity Band-Aids & Long-Term Solutions + McPeek's McPicks | Ep 101 2:09:15

23 weeks yang lalu2:09:15

2:09:15

"How can I make my accounts last longer?" This is the question de jour - and in this episode, we discuss both answers to this question AND if this is even the right question to be asking... We also spend a lot of time discussing Caesers stiffing Josk McPeek $800k. This leads to interesting discussions on "when is a bet a bet", kiosk jamming, slow cashouts, and more. Then some great Q&A that tries to get us to stir the pot. Did we take the bait? 0:00 Intro 3:18 Account Limits & Increasing Longevity 35:15 Caesars $800k Stiff 1:12:30 Kalshi Taking State Gaming Scalps 1:16:50 Why did Sanders fall in the draft? 1:21:35 What is a good partnership split? 1:27:23 Is GP coming back to Twitter? 1:31:50 Outlook on betting & surprises looking back 1:50:42 Overrated and underrated sports bettors Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
100th Episode Special! Sports Betting Content Breakdown & Mega Q&A | Ep 100 2:13:34

24 weeks yang lalu2:13:34

2:13:34

Very special 100th episode where GP and SP reflect on the current sports betting ecosystem, the goal of the podcast and the best way to incorporate sports betting content into your process. News includes a game-changing CFTC chair nomination, debate over a void at ProphetX, and the SAFE act keeps marching us towards our eventual doom. To cap it off - the longest Q&A in podcast history. We took all the questions this week in honor of the 100th episode. If you want to join the discord and ask questions next week - join for free at goldenpants.com 0:00 Intro 2:33 Lessons from GPs content evolution 17:40 How to best consume gambling content 39:11 News 1:03:05 Longest listener Q&A of all-time Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
Heated Backtesting Debate & Gambling GOAT Wins $60M in Texas Lotto | Ep 99 1:54:32

25 weeks yang lalu1:54:32

1:54:32

0:00 Intro 1:20 Backtesting - All you need to know 40:08 News 1:09:00 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
Betting Big Events feat. The Masters & Why SGPs are an RG Solution? | Ep 98 1:48:22

26 weeks yang lalu1:48:22

1:48:22

0:00 Intro 3:00 Betting Big Events 56:38 News 1:20:32 Listener Q&A 1:44:10 Masters Locks (after the Masters started) Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
Edge Graveyard #1 w/ MetroPassMike + Squeezing Every Penny Out of an Account | Ep 97 2:14:30

27 weeks yang lalu2:14:30

2:14:30

Today we have a very special episode. The first "edge graveyard" where we bring on a guest, talk about their betting strategies - and most importantly all share some of our favorite dead edges. Today's guest is Mike, aka @MetroPassMike on Twitter. He's a very sharp bettor who was able to squeeze a quarter million dollars out of his PERSONAL LIMITED REC ACCOUNTS in 2024. Crazy stuff - tune in! 0:00 Intro 2:40 Who really IS MetroPassMike? 9:40 Leaking edges - is it good, and what constitutes a "leaked edge"? 17:00 How does Mike organize his betting w/ his job? 22:10 How to poke around sportsbooks like a pro 33:00 THE EDGE GRAVEYARD 1:02:30 Getting max value from a betting account 1:10:45 How to find others to work with in betting 1:18:38 Mike's hot take on sweeps + prediction markets 1:27:25 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
How to Be Confident in an Edge & GP Outs Guy Who Stole $50k From Him | Ep 96 2:12:56

28 weeks yang lalu2:12:56

2:12:56

0:00 Intro 1:30 How to Determine Confidence in Edges 38:12 Robinhood under fire & sweeps updates 55:36 Florida regulator "hit & runs" Prizepicks & Underdog 1:06:48 What to do when exchanges show huge liquidity? 1:16:41 Should there be minimum bet requirements? (No) 1:26:30 Making life easier for P2s 1:40:10 What to do when you get stiffed? 1:52:45 How to increase your skills through learning/ networking? Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

The Risk Takers Podcast

1
Don't Bet at Exchanges Like You do at DraftKings & Future of Pushup Bets | Ep 95 2:18:43

29 weeks yang lalu2:18:43

2:18:43

0:00 Intro 3:00 What are exchanges and how do they work? 28:34 Strategies for Profiting at Exchanges 49:15 Robinhood Sports Betting 55:36 Novelty Markets on Sweeps 1:10:38 John Oliver on Sports Betting 1:31:00 Q&A: Account Priming 1:55:20 Q&A: PPH 2:06:38 Q&A: Best time spent/ money made ratio and future episode topics Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks…

Selamat datang di Player FM!

Player FM memindai web untuk mencari podcast berkualitas tinggi untuk Anda nikmati saat ini. Ini adalah aplikasi podcast terbaik dan bekerja untuk Android, iPhone, dan web. Daftar untuk menyinkronkan langganan di seluruh perangkat.