Ten Minutes On... podcast

Ten Minutes On...

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Ten Minutes On... What Next for Turkey's Kurds? 11:13

3 hari yang lalu11:13

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11:13

On Monday the militant Kurdish group the PKK announced that it would dissolve itself, supposedly bringing an end to its 40-year armed struggle against Turkey. What has been the reaction to that announcement and what are the prospects for a better political future for Turkey's Kurds as a result?

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Ten Minutes On... The India-Pakistan Stand-Off 10:53

10 hari yang lalu10:53

10:53

Last week the prospects of war between India and Pakistan rose, following the murder of 26 Indian tourists by Islamist militants in Kashmir two weeks ago. In this episode, Guy looks at what military action might look like, what outside actors like the US and China could do to restrain the two sides and the wider economic and development context in which these two states and their societies are operating - and which if those challenges might be addressed, could arguably redirect attention and tension.…

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Ten Minutes On... A New Pope 13:59

17 hari yang lalu13:59

13:59

Following Pope Francis's death and funeral, attention is now turning to who will succeed him at the conclave scheduled for 7 May. But as Guy points out, that's not how those in the Vatican are approaching this. He points out the importance of the general congregation that is taking right now, where interventions are being made on Francis's actions and legacy are being discussed, alongside the current and future state of the Church and the world. It is from those observations will determine that the next Pope will emerge.…

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Ten Minutes On... Ukraine and a Fractured West 16:07

4 weeks yang lalu16:07

16:07

This week Guy looks at the differences that exist between the US and Europe - not just between the leaderships on Ukraine, but beyond them to other issues like NATO and tariffs as well as in terms of public sentiment. Guy looks at some of the recent polling that has come out in both the US and Europe. He notes that there is a growing gulf grows between American and European publics and asks what this means for future transatlantic relations.…

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Ten Minutes On... What Can Developing Countries Do About Trump's Tariffs? 22:00

5 weeks yang lalu22:00

22:00

This week, Guy explores the pros and cons of tariffs, exploring the conflicting motivations behind US President Donald Trump’s decision to impose them last week. He also examines the options available to smaller, more vulnerable developing countries, which range from pursuing independent strategies to taking collective action—potentially including negotiating a deal with the United States. But what kind of deal is really on the table? Is it one that benefits both sides, or does it aim to win at the expense of others?…

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Ten Minutes On... Myanmar's Conflict and Earthquake Crisis 13:07

6 weeks yang lalu13:07

13:07

Last week Myanmar experienced a 7.7 magniture earthquake which has so far killed 2000 people. This is a natural disaster which is taking place in a country wracked by war. In this week's episode Guy looks at the state of the conflict in Myanmar and the relative positions of the military junta and various opposition groups, as well as the role and actions of outside actors like China and ASEAN. Guy also examines Myanmar's current economic and development situation and what prospects there are for a political settlement or for local actors to pursue development solutions independently.…

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Ten Minutes On... Holding Interest Rates Steady For Now 10:08

7 weeks yang lalu10:08

10:08

Last week, several central banks chose to hold interest rates steady, reflecting broader uncertainty about both domestic and global economic conditions. While central bankers have signaled their intention to cut rates later this year, Guy notes that inflation remains a concern. In the longer term, the key challenge remains fostering faster and more productive economic growth.…

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Ten Minutes On... Peace Between Armenia and Azerbaijan? 12:45

8 weeks yang lalu12:45

12:45

Last week Armenia and Azerbaijan looked close to signing a peace agreement and which would put an end to a conflict that has persisted for 40 years. But while a resolution to conflict is welcome, what is the cost? To answer this, Guy uncovers the territorial and ethnic disputes at its heart and questions whether their elimination - in this case the displacement of people by threat of force - is a welcome development.…

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Ten Minutes On... Five Years After COVID 14:39

9 weeks yang lalu14:39

14:39

March 11 marks the fifth anniversary that the World Health Organisation declared the COVID-19 coronavirus a global pandemic. Guy takes a look at what happened in the months and years that followed that announcement and whether or not this led to any lasting changes in society, global politics of the global political economy.…

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Ten Minutes On... Europe's Future 11:12

10 weeks yang lalu11:12

11:12

This week Guy reflects on the fallout from the Americans' abandonment of Ukraine and European leaders' realisation they need to step up in terms of their own defence. Guy explores the difficulty of Europeans becoming fully independent of the US as well as whether this crisis can overcome internal differences and help consolidate Europe into a more concrete political entity.…

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Ten Minutes On... Trump's Foreign Policy 16:21

11 weeks yang lalu16:21

16:21

One month into Donald Trump’s second term, his foreign policy approach is becoming clear—driven by raw power and unilateralism. From tariff threats to criticism of Europe and Ukraine, and even suggestions of force to seize Greenland and the Panama Canal, Trump’s America is reshaping the global order. What does this mean for other states? How can they respond? In this episode, Guy Burton, drawing on his expertise as a university lecturer in international relations, breaks down the key schools of thought in the field—realism, liberalism, and constructivism—and explores how they apply to Trump’s strategy and the reactions of other global actors.…

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Ten Minutes On... That Private Sector Meeting in Beijing and China's Middle Income Trap 10:50

12 weeks yang lalu10:50

10:50

On Monday, Chinese President Xi Jinping met with private sector entrepreneurs in an effort to boost confidence and chart a way forward in the wake of U.S. tariffs imposed by former President Donald Trump. Among those present was Alibaba founder Jack Ma, who has largely remained out of the public eye since Chinese authorities blocked his company’s merger in 2020. But this meeting is about more than just business—it highlights deeper economic challenges facing China, including the risk of falling into the "middle-income trap." Listen to explore what this means for China’s economic trajectory, its leadership, and the world at large.…

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Ten Minutes On... Climate Change Plan Delays and the Road Ahead 15:35

13 weeks yang lalu15:35

15:35

This week, several major players failed to submit their latest mitigation and adaptation plans by the UN's COP30 deadline, scheduled for November in Brazil. This development comes on the heels of President Donald Trump’s second decision to withdraw the US from the Paris Agreement and the appointment of a COP president who has placed a strong emphasis on climate finance. To make matters even more urgent, 2024 has been confirmed as the first year where the average global temperature was 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. In this episode, Guy looks at why time has run out on climate change as a "future" event. He explores why current structures are incapable of delivering the reductions we need and examines the alternatives being proposed in the face of accelerating climate realities.…

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Ten Minutes On... The Coming Tariff War 12:51

14 weeks yang lalu12:51

12:51

With incoming US President Donald Trump threatening tariffs on both rivals like China as well as American partners like Canada and Mexico, what does it all mean? Why is he doing this and what may be the likely consequences? And can the US come out well from it? Looking at evidence from Trump's previous presidency, the prospects aren't good for the US economy and American consumers. But it is unlikely that Trump will be punished politically for them. Why? Have a listen and find out!…

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Ten Minutes On... M23's Takeover of Goma and the Crisis in Eastern DR Congo 11:29

15 weeks yang lalu11:29

11:29

On Monday, the rebel group M23 announced it had seized Goma, the largest city in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Since reigniting its armed campaign in 2022, M23 has displaced over 3 million people, including 400,000 in January 2025 alone. In this episode, we try to answer s everal pressing questions: Who is M23, and what drives their rebellion? Who is backing them? Why has the government in Kinshasa struggled to contain the crisis? And, importantly, what can be done to address the escalating humanitarian challenges in the region?…

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Ten Minutes On... Growing Grievances and Institutional Distrust 12:38

16 weeks yang lalu12:38

12:38

On Monday Reuters reported the headline grabbing figure of 60% surveyed for the the Edelman Trust Barometer survey could justify the use of violence to bring about change. Digging deeper, Guy finds that the survey reveals growing public frustration and grievances, which is fueling distrust in key institutions like business, government and the media. But as Guy points out, the recommendations made by Edelman in the report present their own challenges, even contradictions, given the prevailing nature of the wider political and economic environment. Guy concludes that without any apparent change from within or without, this could lead to further erosion of trust, resulting in more drastic results in the medium- to long-term. The Edelman Trust Barometer survey can be read here .…

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Ten Minutes On... Responding to Wildfires in California and Elsewhere 8:13

17 weeks yang lalu8:13

8:13

In this week's episode we look beyond the current wildfires taking place in California over the past week to look at the broader themes and challenges associated with them and other extreme weather events, from their increasing frequency and intensity and the options for responding to them.

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Ten Minutes On... Why Are Some Voices Heard and Not Others? 11:05

18 weeks yang lalu11:05

11:05

In the first episode of the year, Guy examines Elon Musk's controversial commentary on British politics over the New Year. Why do we give figures like Musk so much attention despite their apparent ignorance? Drawing on insights from his holiday reading, including Anthony Seldon's Prime Ministers series and academic studies on the disconnect between scholars and public servants, Guy unpacks the broader implications of these dynamics. Listen now for a thought-provoking exploration of influence, expertise, and the narratives that shape public discourse.…

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Ten Minutes On... Why Yoon's Self-Coup Misfired: Lessons from Around the World 15:36

21 weeks yang lalu15:36

15:36

In this week’s episode, we unpack the political turmoil in South Korea. After President Yoon Suk Yeol imposed martial law, only to see it voted down by the legislature on December 3rd, events quickly spiraled. The past week has seen the police attempt to raid his office and the National Assembly vote to impeach him. So, how did Yoon miscalculate so badly? We compare his self-coup attempt to similar cases in the US, Tunisia, Peru, and Brazil. By analyzing why such efforts succeed or fail in other places, we explore key lessons on preventing them in the future.…

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Ten Minutes On... What's Next for Syria? 14:18

22 weeks yang lalu14:18

14:18

The fall of the Assad regime in Syria caught many by surprise, including seasoned regional analysts. As attention turns to what might happen next, Guy decides to take a side step and instead look at what the research and data on post-civil war settings tell us; whether peace through government or rebel victories and negotiated settlements or military victories are more durable. Understanding these broader trends could provide insights for what is presently an extremely fluid situation for Syria.…

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Ten Minutes On... Revisiting Syria's Forgotten War 14:05

23 weeks yang lalu14:05

14:05

Since 2018, Syria has largely been viewed as a frozen conflict, with neither the government nor rebel factions showing the capacity or willingness to make significant moves. However, this dynamic shifted at the end of November when the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham advanced against government forces in the northern city of Aleppo, forcing them to retreat. While it’s unclear if this marks a turning point in the conflict, the developments have prompted renewed attention to what many had considered a forgotten war. This week, Guy takes a look at the present state of affairs in Syria. He examines the war's devastating impact on the country's people and economy, analyzes the current balance of power among the major rivals, and explores what this resurgence in violence could mean for Syria’s future. In the episode Guy refers to an article he wrote on the situation in Syria from 2020. It is available here . In addition, Guy references Marc Lynch's The New Arab Wars , which can be found here .…

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Ten Minutes On... Netanyahu's Arrest Warrant 15:21

24 weeks yang lalu15:21

15:21

On Thursday, November 21, the International Criminal Court (ICC) issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, former Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, and several Hamas leaders for their roles in the conflict that escalated on October 7 and the ongoing war in Gaza. This episode examines the implications of these warrants, providing context on the ICC's investigation into alleged war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide in Gaza. Host Guy unpacks the conditions under which the ICC can act, exploring the intersection of international law and the political realities of power dynamics as well as the some of the challenges the ICC faces in pursuing justice…

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Ten Minutes On... The BlueSky X-odus 16:57

25 weeks yang lalu16:57

16:57

This week Guy looks at the dramatic rise in users on the BlueSky app and explores whether some of Twitter's user base has finally had enough of Elon Musk’s ownership and management. He takes a look at the current social media landscape, examining Twitter's role within it and the significant changes it has undergone over the past two years. Guy discusses why users have been hesitant to leave Twitter, despite its controversies, and what has helped them to maker the move to alternatives like BlueSky and Threads. Through a comparison of the three platforms, Guy reflects on the evolving social media ecosystem, the potential shift away from monolithic entities, and the impact of echo chambers on user behavior.…

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Ten Minutes On... Resolving Greek and Turkish Differences 16:19

26 weeks yang lalu16:19

16:19

This week, we dive into the latest meeting between the Greek and Turkish foreign ministers, who discussed ongoing differences and explored potential areas for cooperation. While diplomatic dialogue is a positive step forward—especially compared to past military confrontations—will it be enough to truly resolve the complex maritime issues between the two nations? In this episode, I examine why dialogue alone may not suffice, given the broader ideational and structural factors at play. Join me as we look into the longstanding and shifting dynamics between Greece and Turkey over the past few decades. I'll also link to my earlier article on the maritime dispute for those who’d like a deeper background on this issue.…

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Ten Minutes On... Political Polarisation and Radicalisation in the United States 14:21

27 weeks yang lalu14:21

14:21

This week we dive into the state of American politics as citizens head to the polls for a pivotal presidential election. After a long and contentious campaign, many are asking just how polarized—or even radicalized—American society has become. We explore these questions in depth, comparing political division in the U.S. to that of other countries around the world. Our discussion also focuses on potential solutions: What can the next U.S. president and other leaders do to help ease the tension and restore unity? Tune in as we analyze the roots of this polarization, examine how it affects society, and explore ways to bring about a more constructive and cohesive political landscape.…

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Ten Minutes On... Regulating Artificial Intelligence 20:39

28 weeks yang lalu20:39

20:39

This week we take a look at the evolving landscape of AI regulation in response to recent court cases against major AI companies and controversies surrounding the misuse of their products. While superintelligent AI and the apocalyptic scenarios seen in films like Terminator and The Matrix remain speculative, there are real-world challenges and ethical dilemmas in today’s AI development and deployment. We explore the major issues currently facing AI, along with the efforts being made at global, regional, and national levels to address them. Our discussion covers key initiatives by the UN, Europe, the United States, and China, shedding light on the regulatory frameworks shaping the future of AI. If you enjoy the episode, please consider leaving a review, rating the podcast, and sharing it with others. Don’t forget to subscribe for new episodes every Wednesday. Thank you for listening!…

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Ten Minutes On... The BRICS+ Summit in Kazan 16:17

29 weeks yang lalu16:17

16:17

In this episode, we dive deep into the BRICS+ summit hosted by Russia in Kazan, which is attracting global attention. While the media often frames this event as Russia's attempt to demonstrate that it's not diplomatically isolated, the reality is much more complex. The summit brings together a diverse group of countries with varying interests, agendas, and levels of enthusiasm, especially when it comes to reforming the global financial architecture and potentially introducing an alternative to the SWIFT system. We explore the underlying dynamics and rivalries within the BRICS+ group and how the summit declaration may highlight important second-order issues. These issues reflect broader trends in international relations, with countries increasingly seeking to diversify their alliances and cooperate in ways that align with their own interests in a shifting, multipolar world. Tune in to get a nuanced view of what's really happening behind the scenes of the BRICS+ summit and what it means for global diplomacy and economic reform.…

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Ten Minutes On... Indonesia's New President 15:10

30 weeks yang lalu15:10

15:10

On October 20, Indonesia's President Joko Widodo, affectionately known as "Jokowi," will officially hand over power to his successor, Prabowo Subianto. In this episode, we explore who Prabowo is and what his leadership might mean for Indonesia's future. We’ll also reflect on Jokowi's 10-year legacy and discuss the current state of Indonesian democracy. We’ll also delve into the economic prospects for Indonesia in the coming years and its ambitions to become a high-income country.…

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Ten Minutes On... Energy Companies' Oil Addiction 12:38

31 weeks yang lalu12:38

12:38

On 7 October Reuters reported that BP was scaling back its climate change strategy. To what extent was this an isolated incident or are other energy companies doing the same? In this episode we learn that other companies are also pulling back from green energy investments and both keeping and building on fossil fuel development and production, which will have severe repercussions for wider efforts to curb climate change.…

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Ten Minutes On... Hezbollah in Lebanon and Republican Views on Ukraine 16:00

32 weeks yang lalu16:00

16:00

In this episode, we explore the escalating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, examining the current state of affairs in Lebanon or its politics and people. Additionally, we discuss Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s recent visit to the U.S., including his meeting with Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. We’ll unpack Trump’s stance on the Ukraine war and assess how it aligns with American public opinion and political sentiment.…

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The Let Them Theory: A Life-Changing Tool That Millions of People Can't Stop Talking About

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The Let Them Theory: A Life-Changing Tool That Millions of People Can't Stop Talking About

The Let Them Theory: A Life-Changing Tool That Millions of People Can't Stop Talking About

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The Let Them Theory: A Life-Changing Tool That Millions of People Can't Stop Talking About

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