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Why recession odds for 2023 are fifty-fifty

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Manage episode 354345810 series 1767659
Konten disediakan oleh American Bankers Association. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh American Bankers Association atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang dijelaskan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.

As the Federal Reserve continues its efforts to drive inflation lower this year and next, the ABA Economic Advisory Committee expects stalling economic growth in 2023, followed by a modest recovery in 2024. On the latest episode of the podcast — sponsored by xChange — EAC Chair Simona Mocuta shares the committee’s consensus forecast. The chief economist at State Street Global Advisors also discusses the committee’s 50/50 recession odds for 2023, their surprising forecast for a rate cut by the end of the year (signaling their confidence in the Fed’s ability to bring down inflation), how the economic outlook may affect loan demand and credit quality.

  continue reading

138 episode

Artwork
iconBagikan
 
Manage episode 354345810 series 1767659
Konten disediakan oleh American Bankers Association. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh American Bankers Association atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang dijelaskan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.

As the Federal Reserve continues its efforts to drive inflation lower this year and next, the ABA Economic Advisory Committee expects stalling economic growth in 2023, followed by a modest recovery in 2024. On the latest episode of the podcast — sponsored by xChange — EAC Chair Simona Mocuta shares the committee’s consensus forecast. The chief economist at State Street Global Advisors also discusses the committee’s 50/50 recession odds for 2023, their surprising forecast for a rate cut by the end of the year (signaling their confidence in the Fed’s ability to bring down inflation), how the economic outlook may affect loan demand and credit quality.

  continue reading

138 episode

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