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The REAL Economic Data Was Just Released, It's Not Good

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Manage episode 435022615 series 2679639
Konten disediakan oleh Jeff Snider. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh Jeff Snider atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang diuraikan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.

Revisions are a normal part of high frequency data. Constant, near-exclusive downward revisions are not. Rewrites should be more evenly distributed which means these stats are overstating the economy. Plus, the problem is spreading hitting retail sales and IP as well as payrolls. While everyone went nuts over retail sales, the problem with July's number isn't just the likely downward revision.

Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre

Bloomberg Fed’s Goolsbee Says He’s Growing More Concerned About Employment
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-14/fed-s-goolsbee-says-he-s-growing-more-concerned-about-employment

Bloomberg Manufacturers Axe Products as a Factory Slowdown Lingers
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-08-16/rockwell-rok-xylem-xyl-axe-products-as-factory-slowdown-deepens

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

  continue reading

923 episode

Artwork
iconBagikan
 
Manage episode 435022615 series 2679639
Konten disediakan oleh Jeff Snider. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh Jeff Snider atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang diuraikan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.

Revisions are a normal part of high frequency data. Constant, near-exclusive downward revisions are not. Rewrites should be more evenly distributed which means these stats are overstating the economy. Plus, the problem is spreading hitting retail sales and IP as well as payrolls. While everyone went nuts over retail sales, the problem with July's number isn't just the likely downward revision.

Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre

Bloomberg Fed’s Goolsbee Says He’s Growing More Concerned About Employment
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-14/fed-s-goolsbee-says-he-s-growing-more-concerned-about-employment

Bloomberg Manufacturers Axe Products as a Factory Slowdown Lingers
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-08-16/rockwell-rok-xylem-xyl-axe-products-as-factory-slowdown-deepens

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

  continue reading

923 episode

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