Smart people talking about politics, policy, culture and other stuff
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Liberal Bill Scher and conservative Matt Lewis meet in the rancor-free DMZ to hash out the week's political events.
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Heather Hurlburt and Daniel Drezner offer unorthodox takes from inside security orthodoxy.
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Aryeh Cohen-Wade speaks with guests about culture in all its forms—pop, high, and low—and American society in general.
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Elon, Trump, and Other Scary Billionaires (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
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Deep insights about coffee and sleep from Paul ... Mindfulness and cognitive behavioral therapy ... Oligarchy + paranoid billionaires = disaster ... Ackman and Thiel join Elon in billionaire la la land ... Is Trump anti-Semitic or just really pro-Israel? ... If you don’t feel alienated you should seek counseling ... Heading to Overtime ...…
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Should Biden Have Resigned in June? (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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Would Kamala Harris have been worse off if Biden resigned? ... Why is Matt losing conservative friends? ... Should politicians fact check constituent stories? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Should Biden Have Resigned in June? (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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Would Kamala Harris have been worse off if Biden resigned? ... Why is Matt losing conservative friends? ... Should politicians fact check constituent stories? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Israel-Hamas, Year One (Robert Wright, Derek Davison, and Daniel Bessner)
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Would a different US president have made a difference for Gaza? ... Saudi-Israel normalization takes a step back ... Is all hope lost for a two-state solution? ... Making sense of Israel’s pager attacks in Lebanon ... Heading to Overtime—and an AP PSA ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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A New Kind of Artificial Intelligence (Robert Wright & Timothy B. Lee)
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Why didn’t OpenAI call its new o1 AI GPT? ... Tim’s first impressions of o1 ... What’s the secret to o1’s better reasoning? ... Inspecting AI introspection ... Does o1’s capability for deception bring us closer to doom? ... AI doomers’ Hollywood problem ... Elon’s self-driving speed bumps ... Heading to Overtime ...…
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Putin's Warning, America's Blunders (Robert Wright & Andrew Day)
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...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Kamala Set 3 Traps in the Debate (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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What Kamala got right ... What Trump got wrong ... Why undecided voters are the worst ... Why probabilistic forecasts are stupid ... Do the Swift and Cheney endorsements matter? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Kamala Set 3 Traps in the Debate (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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What Kamala got right ... What Trump got wrong ... Why undecided voters are the worst ... Why probabilistic forecasts are stupid ... Do the Swift and Cheney endorsements matter? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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The Trump-Kamala Debate (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
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Tragedy strikes the Wright household ... Breaking down the big Trump-Kamala debate ... Are debates actually valuable? ... Kamala’s worst debate moment (according to Bob) ... Elon vs Taylor Swift, Brazil, and himself ... Bob and Paul argue about free speech ... Heading to Overtime ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Zelensky’s Gambits, Putin’s Game Plan (Robert Wright & Anatol Lieven)
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Is Ukraine’s Kursk invasion failing? ... Why Russia may outlast the West in Ukraine ... Zelensky’s cabinet shakeup ... Prospects for a peace deal ... Russian elites’ views on the war ... How the Global South can help end the conflict ... Heading to Overtime ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Trump Scaremongers War (But What’s The Truth?) (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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Is Biden-Harris foreign policy neoconservative or Reagan conservative? ... How much are Trump and Biden alike on foreign policy? ... Matt warns up to Walz ... How should Harris approach next week's debate? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Trump Scaremongers War (But What’s The Truth?) (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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Is Biden-Harris foreign policy neoconservative or Reagan conservative? ... How much are Trump and Biden alike on foreign policy? ... Matt warns up to Walz ... How should Harris approach next week's debate? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Evolution, Empathy, and the Future of Humanity (Homebrewed Christianity) (Robert Wright & Tripp Fuller)
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...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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RFK, Jr., Endorses Trump (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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What's wrong with Walz joining Harris for her first interview? ... Should Harris have gone local for her first interview? ... Why is Trump embracing RFK Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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RFK, Jr., Endorses Trump (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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What's wrong with Walz joining Harris for her first interview? ... Should Harris have gone local for her first interview? ... Why is Trump embracing RFK Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Israel’s Self-Destructive Policies (Robert Wright & Stephen Walt)
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Steve’s books, The Hell of Good Intentions and The Israel Lobby ... How Israel helped spawn Hezbollah ... Why US leaders abet Israel’s self-destructive behavior ... Netanyahu’s longstanding opposition to a Palestinian state ... The Israeli policy that doomed Israel-Palestine relations ... Steve’s writings on US foreign policy and the election ...…
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Predicting the Past (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
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Bob and Paul’s time-warping podcast experiment ... Does thinking in bets better your thinking? ... Past prediction 1: Will the presidential race tighten up? ... J.D. Vance memes of yester-month ... Past prediction 2: Who will Kamala pick for VP? ... When reality gets weird ... Heading to Overtime ...…
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Gaza, Realism, and US Foreign Policy (Robert Wright & Emma Ashford)
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Emma’s forthcoming book on US grand strategy ... Gaza, Ukraine, and Mearsheimer’s realism ... The DC establishment’s dark view of world affairs ... How the Gaza war hurts American interests—and America itself ... Is the time ripe for realism and restraint? ... National problems that require international cooperation ... Heading to Overtime ...…
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Client States Gone Wild (Robert Wright & Andrew Day)
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...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Kamala Could Win BIG (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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Are too many former Democratic presidents speaking at the convention? ... Does Kamala Harris need to win the national popular vote by a lot to win the Electoral College? ... Does Tim Walz need a better response to attacks on his military service? ... Does Donald Trump need a campaign shake up? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Kamala Could Win BIG (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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Are too many former Democratic presidents speaking at the convention? ... Does Kamala Harris need to win the national popular vote by a lot to win the Electoral College? ... Does Tim Walz need a better response to attacks on his military service? ... Does Donald Trump need a campaign shake up? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Understanding AI "Understanding" (Robert Wright & Nathan Labenz)
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Nathan's podcast, The Cognitive Revolution ... The enduring enigmas of AI ... Conceptualizing how LLMs conceptualize ... Do AIs actually understand things? ... Why AI doesn’t need to be superhuman to be revolutionary ... Human vs AI representations of the world ... Thinking through high-dimensional AI brain space ... Nathan on AI risk: Doomer? Acce…
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Covid: The evidence for natural origin (Robert Wright & Peter Miller)
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Peter’s background and (Root)claim to fame ... How Peter caught the Covid origins bug ... The Wuhan wet market: source or amplifier? ... Holes in the lab leak theory ... The patient zero problem ... A statistical deep dive into the wet market ... What the genetic evidence can (and can’t) tell us ... Can we “trust the science” on Covid? ... Has trib…
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Harris Picks Tim Walz for Veep (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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Matt argues Harris should have picked Shapiro ... Bill argues Walz has swing appeal ... Is the "couch" joke below the belt? ... How is Trump going after Walz? ... Will there be debates? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Harris Picks Tim Walz for Veep (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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Matt argues Harris should have picked Shapiro ... Bill argues Walz has swing appeal ... Is the "couch" joke below the belt? ... How is Trump going after Walz? ... Will there be debates? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Middle East on the Brink (Robert Wright & Joshua Landis)
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Who was Haniyeh—and why’d Israel kill him? ... Why Netanyahu may want a US-Iran war ... Are pro-Israel groups at peak power? ... Israel’s escalating conflict with Hezbollah ... The logic of Iranian retaliation ... Israel’s lack of a viable endgame in Gaza ... Heading to Overtime ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Who Will Kamala Harris Pick for VP? Shapiro or Kelly?? (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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How did Kamala Harris consolidate the Democratic Party so quickly? ... Is Harris authentic or a phony? ... Who will (and should) be Harris' VP? ... What is Trump thinking by attacking Harris' racial identity? ... What did Trump mean by saying "you won't have to vote anymore"? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Who Will Kamala Harris Pick for VP? Shapiro or Kelly?? (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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How did Kamala Harris consolidate the Democratic Party so quickly? ... Is Harris authentic or a phony? ... Who will (and should) be Harris' VP? ... What is Trump thinking by attacking Harris' racial identity? ... What did Trump mean by saying "you won't have to vote anymore"? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Life in an AI Utopia (Robert Wright & Nick Bostrom)
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Nick’s influential book Superintelligence and his new book Deep Utopia ... Has Nick flipped on AI doom? ... Life in the “solved world” of an AI utopia ... Can technology address the deepest problems of human nature? ... Meaning, artificial purpose, and the value of golf ... The promise and perils of virtual reality ... Heading to Overtime ...…
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The Case for (and against) Cold War II (Robert Wright & Dmitri Alperovitch)
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Dmitri’s new book, World on the Brink ... Is America’s behavior more destabilizing than China’s? ... China-Taiwan compared to Russia-Ukraine ... Is the US making a Chinese invasion of Taiwan more likely? ... Should the US try to maintain global hegemony? ... The “autocracy versus democracy” framing ...…
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Coconut Conservatism (Robert Wright & Andrew Day)
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...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Will Kamala Make America Great Again? (Robert Wright, Derek Davison, and Daniel Bessner)
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The Nonzero-American Prestige all-star team ... Why didn’t the Trump shooting matter more? ... What anti-Trump historians get wrong ... Why Kamala shouldn't demonize Trump ... Heading to Overtime—and a discount deal ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Kamala’s Party (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
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Who’s most to blame for the Biden mess? ... Why Trump might duck a debate with Kamala ... Is Biden locked in the basement? ... Kamala’s biggest liabilities ... Loyalty, the Mob, and Biden’s psychology ... Conspiracy theories of the Trump shooting ... The kind of VP Kamala should pick ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Trump’s Acceptance, Biden’s Defiance (Robert Wright & Mickey Kaus)
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Mickey makes his (iconic) return to Nonzero! ... Did Trump blow his RNC acceptance speech? ... The escalating Democratic civil war over Biden ... Trump vs Biden (vs Josh Shapiro) on national unity ... Drafting the ideal Dem electoral strategy ... J.D. Vance: paradox or phony? ... Is Trump the lesser evil on foreign policy? ... Has Mickey felt the “…
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Trump Picks J.D. Vance (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
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How can anyone presume "divine intervention" saved Trump? ... What is the import of the JD Vance pick? ... In how much trouble are Democrats? ... What can Woodrow Wilson teach us about Joe Biden? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Looking for the Assassin’s Creed (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
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The psychology of the shooter ... The psychology of Trump ... Trump as national healer ... When is anti-Trump rhetoric too extreme? ... The alpha male problem ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Biden Presses On (Robert Wright & Andrew Day)
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...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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The Biden Mess (Robert Wright & Eric Levitz)
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Biden plays chicken against Democratic elites ... Could the delegates deny Biden the nomination? ... Odd moments in the George Stephanopoulos interview ... Biden faces down a populist-elite revolt ... How a small group of insiders could force Biden out ... Heading to Overtime ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Kamala or BUST? (Bill Scher & Matt K. Lewis)
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Is Biden OK? ... Should it be Kamala? ... Who are the Kamala alternatives? ... Who could be Kamala's VP? ... Who will be Trump's VP? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Kamala or BUST? (Bill Scher & Matt K. Lewis)
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Is Biden OK? ... Should it be Kamala? ... Who are the Kamala alternatives? ... Who could be Kamala's VP? ... Who will be Trump's VP? ...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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Biden's Fragility, Trump's Immunity (Robert Wright & Andrew Day)
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...Oleh bloggingheads.tv
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The President’s Brain (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
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Dementia vs senility ... Biden’s brain: a post-debate diagnosis ... Who’s to blame for the Biden problem? ... Biden’s most baffling debate moment ... Will Biden step down? Bob and Paul place their bets ... Has Nick Bostrom flipped on AI doomerism? ... The earthly side of a meditation retreat ... Heading to Overtime ...…
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