Mike Gianella and Jon Hegglund of Baseball Prospectus take a deep dive into current fantasy baseball topics.
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Fantasy baseball explained through sabermetrics and sarcasm by host Matt Williams of The Athletic.
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Veteran Fantasy analyst Dr. Roto is here to hold your hand on the way to winning it all. Want the latest injury insights? Need to get some later round advice for your draft? Want to know who to start and who to sit? Let the calm, cool, collected and credible duo navigate you through your season in football, baseball and basketball. Let's face it, there's 11 losers in every league. When it's all on the line, who are you listening to? This is Fantasy advice you can trust.Heard live on the FNTS ...
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Episode 316: Main Event Victory Lap
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We did it! In our very first try at the NFBC Main Event, we finished 121st out of 855 entries, which sounds mildly impressive at best. But more to the point, we won our league, completing a dramatic reversal of our early-season misfortunes (well documented in earlier episodes). After briefly patting ourselves on the back, we look at the 2024 season…
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Episode 315: Reviewing 2024 Draft Strategy
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Everyone is already drafting (whether mock or real) for 2025, but we at Flags decide to look back at the board from 2024 and ponder some questions about the first round, about what happened to the elite starting pitchers (spoiler: they were pretty good, Spencer Strider aside, womp womp), about whether drafting elite closers was a good choice, and w…
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Episode 314: Trade Deadline Fallout
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Since the last podcast, a lot has happened in the world. One of things that hasn't happened is the White Sox winning a single game. Today we avoid current events to discuss some fallout from the trade deadline, with quite a bit of attention to the closer landscape for the rest of the season. Also, we make some more general observations about a dead…
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Episode 313: More Patience than Axl Rose
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Hey, it's (just past) the middle of the season, so Mike and Jon talk a bit about how patience with slow starters and consistent FAABing have worked wonders for their suddenly-halfway-decent Main Event squad. Then we dive into Mike's midseason valuations, which you can find here: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/article/92181/midseason-fan…
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Episode 312: History Lesson (with Larry Schechter)
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We have a conversation with Larry Schechter, fantasy legend and author of the new book, The History of Fantasy Sports. We talk about how the history of fantasy baseball is more complex than you might think, some of the people and personalities that led us to where the game is today, and where it might go in the future. You can find Larry's book at …
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Episode 311: Midseason and Midlife Conversations (with Jeff Erickson)
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Mike and Jon welcome Rotowire's Jeff Erickson for a free-range conversation centering on our midseason process, specifically as it relates to player evaluation, the timing of cuts and adds, roster management, FAAB strategy, and how we balance our time spent on baseball with, you know, living our lives. We start off with a little DadCast(tm) convers…
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Episode 310: Valuing Players At The End of May
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Mike and Jon talk about the tragicomic Mets, the utility of rolling three-week samples, not holding too tightly to fast starters who slow down, and then we conclude with a little game where we discuss players whose rest-of-season value has changed the most, for better or worse. Sorry, Bo Bichette. Flags Fly Forever is a Baseball Prospectus podcast.…
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Episode 309: Talking about Texts about Baseball
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What to talk about as the MLB season rounds the first-month post? Well, Mike and Jon text regularly about many things--and a good portion of those are baseball-related. So we looked at a few text exchanges we've had over the last couple of weeks and continued the conversation "in person," as it were. Topics included: - how can we "plant flags" for …
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Episode 308: Three Men in Action Park (with Grey Albright)
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We kick the ass of April doldrums with the help of our Very Special Guest, the one and only Grey Albright of Razzball and ostentatious eyewear fame. After some desultory baseball discussion we talk about New Jersey's favorite defunct libertarian tourist attraction and torture park--I speak, of course, of Action Park! (If you want to know more about…
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We're getting all T.S. Eliot on you, because for us, and for fantasy basebal content, April is kind of a dead zone. Rather than overreact to fast and slow starts, we discuss some process points in evaluating your early-season roster and negotiating FAAB at this time of year. We do this through the lens of our own underperforming Main Event team (at…
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Episode 306: The Gang Does A Main Event
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Hey, it's actual baseball season! After the whirlwind of positional previews and draft discussion, we put a cap on the 2024 draft season by discussing the NFBC Main Event team that Mike and Jon drafted. It was the first time either of us had participated in a Main Event, and we talk about our decision to ante up, our overall strategy, our focused s…
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Episode 305: Everything You Ever Wanted to Know About Auctions (But Were Afraid to Ask)
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We take the occasion of the recent Tout Wars auction weekend to do a deep dive on auctions--what we prefer, how we prepare, and some strategies and advice for those new to the format. We love auctions! In this episode we discuss: Why in-person auctions are so fun and rewarding How preparation and strategy are different than a draft Why you should h…
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Episode 304: Tout Mixed Review + SP Strategy + Using Bid Limits
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Bit of a mixed bag this week: We review Mike's Tout Wars Mixed League draft from earlier in the week. (You can see the draft board here: https://www.fantrax.com/fantasy/league/1ojcq64zltc8i9la/draft-results) We talk (again) about your strategy for drafting starting pitchers, and why Mike generally avoids the "blob" of mid-tier starters. We also int…
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Episode 303: Outfield Positional Preview
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We talk outfielders this week, and given the size of the position, we did more of a strategy overview than deep dives on indivdual players. It's an interesting year at the position--great, five-category options up top but a fairly long tail of useful players deep into the 200s, and beyond. Flags Fly Forever is a Baseball Prospectus podcast. For mor…
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Episode 302: Reviewing the LABR Mixed Draft
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We step away from our positional previews to discuss the LABR Mixed League draft, which Mike took part in on Tuesday, February 20. We talk about the difference between stand-alone leagues and larger multi-league competitions, strategies for the first four rounds, how to respond to early spring training injury news, building drafts around your start…
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Episode 301: Shortstop Preview + Draft Strategy
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We continue our march through the positions, spending this episode on the somewhat top-heavy position of shortstop. We go through our ADP tiers, discoursing on the following players: Bobby Witt Jr. Trea Turner Francisco Lindor Corey Seager Elly De La Cruz Gunnar Henderson Bo Bichette CJ Abrams Oneil Cruz Xander Bogaerts Dansby Swanson Anthony Volpe…
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Episode 300: Third Base Positional Preview
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Our corners, we like them hot. Mike and Jon discuss just about every third baseman under the sun as we motor along with our positional previews. Featuring: José Ramírez Austin Riley Rafael Devers Royce Lewis Manny Machado Alex Bregman Nolan Arenado Josh Jung (with appropriately bad puns) Spencer Steer Jake Burger Ke'Bryan Hayes Noelvi Marte Alec Bo…
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Episode 299: Second Base Positional Preview
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Hey friends, it's keystone time, and also stick around to find out why Mike utters the sentence, "second base is our kids." Before we go full Dadcast, however, we do discuss the following players: Mookie Betts Ozzie Albies Marcus Semien José Altuve Nico Hoerner (and the Problem of Stolen Bases) Matt McLain Ha-Seong Kim Gleyber Torres Group of Spide…
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Episode 298: First Base Positional Preview
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New year, new producer, but your same old hosts are back. Mike and Jon talk first basemen for the upcoming 2024 season. We go through tiers of NFBC average draft position, and discuss the following players: Freddie Freeman Shohei Ohtani (UT) Bryce Harper Matt Olson Pete Alonso Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. Cody Bellinger Paul Goldschmidt Triston Casas Spe…
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Episode 297: World Series Reaction Special
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The season is over, long live the season. Or something. Anyway the lads recorded what ended up being their final episode of the regular season during Game 5 of the World Series. Hear them react to a new champion being crowned. Before that, Mike and Samuel went back and forth on what they feel about this year's playoffs as a whole. It's a thoughtful…
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Episode 296: Now With 100% More Baseball
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Oh hi there. How have you been? We've been fine, thanks for asking. If you want to hear about baseball, this is the episode for you. There's a lot of discussion about fantasy off the top, specifically evaluation in hindsight. Real nitty gritty stuff if you're into that. If you're not, fear not! It then diverges into a discussion of the upcoming ALC…
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Episode 295: Do You Know Where Your LA Angels Are?
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There's an amount of baseball on this episode that should probably be described as "surprising." In what direction is up to you, the listener, to discover. We start with a game based around the revolving door of mediocrity that is the Los Angeles Angels. We live watch the Alex Cobb almost near no hitter (spoiler alert even though it was 3 days ago?…
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Episode 294: Food Flies Forever
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Oh hi, dear listener. It's been a moment, we've all been busy and baseball has baseball'ed in 2023. But we do have a show for you that has a...select amount of baseball discussion. We also talk about food a lot, travelling, and Jon ends the show with a wonderful fatherhood based anecdote. We're having fun, so we hope you have fun as well. Got a con…
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Episode 293: Baseball Makes A Cameo
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Oh hi there. You doing alright? Making sure to drink water and take your medicine? Good, good. We're proud of you for that self care. Anyway, so MLB really has the show down again this week because somehow it only seems to be getting worse. Maybe it'll get better soon, who can say? We sure can't, because it all looks awful. As a result, we ended up…
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Episode 292: Here's A Podcast, Enjoy
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And we're back, now that we all are back in houses and assorted other things. There's some fantasy talk, but admittedly the recent events have gotten us a bit sour. So we do the best we can. And we don't scream...that much. Got a content idea for the show? Shoot us an email at flagsflyforever@baseballprospectus.com or a message at our Twitter feed …
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Episode 291: One Great And Two Undetermined Dads Talk Baseball
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You'll have to listen to the full episode to understand the title. That's what makes a good title right? Right? Don't answer that actually, just love you. Anyway, I could tell you about all the baseball we talked about on this show. I'd rather tell you though that right after we finished recording, we spent ten minutes discussing our favorite Taylo…
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Episode 290: Early Season Escapades With Steve Gardner
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Oh hey, didn't see you there. It has been a minute hasn't it? How have you been, how's your spouse, your kids? The job still treating you right? No? Well that blows, unionize your workplace and take back the means of production. Anyway this week we're back after illness and tech problems derailed us for the past two weeks. Mike upon review does sou…
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Episode 289: 2023 Opening Day Special
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Releasing a day early to celebrate Opening Day, the lads are back with their full prediction slate. Who will win each division? Who takes home the major awards? Mike, Jon, and Samuel tell you in the first half of the episode. The second half is a game show! Samuel took like two years off from baseball, and uh his knowledge is a little sketch on pla…
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Episode 288: Finishing Where We Started(Pitching)
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It's over. It's finally over. The positional series has come to an end, with all intended disrespect towards catchers and relievers. It's starting pitching week, and since you noticed the episode isn't 19 hours long we're following the same pattern as we did with outfielders. We're hitting the high notes, giving you the map to how to handle starter…
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Episode 287: Just When I Think I'm Out(field)...
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We're almost there. We're so close y'all. The positional series is close to completion, and we're here today(or whenever you hear this we're not time cops) to talk about the outfield. Is there a lot of those? You bet your redacted, but we handled it well. Steering through the waves, getting you what you need and nothing you don't. Especially a Denn…
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It's shortstop week on Flags Fly Forever. Mike, Jon, and a large number of fans at Mike's house are here to close out the infield portion of our series. There's a lot of big names in this spot, a lot of things to consider when drafting, but fear not. The lads get you where you want to be, and you'll be blown away by their analysis! Got a content id…
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Episode 285: Third (Base) Is the Word
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Our positional series continues with the hot corner. Mike Gianella and Jon Hegglund take you through third base, a position with a strong top end but that curves out real poorly. How should you handle the second tier and lower of the position? The lads make sure you're well taken care of so you'll avoid the pitfalls and ride the wave to success. Go…
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Episode 284: Second (Base) Is The New First
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The positional series continues this week with one of the most robust categories, second base. This is a depth position in 2023, with no one stand out star but plenty of options at the very good and below levels. Mike Gianella and Jon Hegglund dive all the way in, giving you insights on how to parse through each tier and make the best selection for…
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Episode 283: The Gang's Back Together (Talking First Base)
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Don't call it a comeback, we've been here for like two days. Mike Gianella, Jon Hegglund, and Samuel Hale are back in the saddle talking all about fantasy baseball once again. It's positional series time, and this week they tackle first base with a pinch of DH mixed in. It's a position which has pretty well defined rank. Mike and Jon help guide you…
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Starting Pitcher Breakouts w/ Steve Gardner
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Steve Gardner of USA Today to discuss early season breakouts in fantasy baseball. - Detroit's Walk-off Nightmare - Rizzo Power Surge - Kyle Wright's Value - Buy High Candidates - Is Cody Bellinger Back?
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Slow Starts & Low HR Totals w/ Grey Albright
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Grey Albright of Razzball to discuss: - Buy Low on Gerrit Cole? - Robbie Ray's Slider - Low HR Totals - Early Season Slow Starters - Pitch Clocks and Goofy Rules
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Early Season Trends w/ guests Joe Pisapia & John Laghezza
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Joe Pisapia of FantasyPros and John Laghezza of The Athletic to discuss early season trends. - Players off to hot/cold starts - Metrics to minor early in the season - Early buy low/sell high
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Players To Watch Early w/ guests Frank Stampfl and Sara Sanchez
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Frank Stampfl of CBS and Sara Sanchez of Bleed Cubbie Blue to discuss early season strategy in fantasy baseball. - Things to watch for - How to manage a roster during the first month - Players with a short leash - Award Predictions - Outlandishly Bold Predictions
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Episode 282: Expert Draft Recap With Tim McCullough
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Mike Gianella is joined by BP's Tim McCullough to discuss draft strategies in some of the fantasy expert leagues!Oleh Bret Sayre
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Projection Outliers & Bold Predictions w/ guest Derek Carty
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Derek Carty, creator of The Bat and The Bat X, to discuss outliers in 2022 MLB projections. - How The Bat/Bat X differentiates from other projections - How to evaluate & project rookies - Outliers who should outperform ADP - Environmental impact of projections - 2022 Bold Predictions - "Draft Justin Turner or you a…
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How To Find A Discount Ace w/ guest Nick Pollack
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Matt (MattWi77iams) is joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) to discuss methods of locating a discount ace in fantasy drafts. - What analytics/metrics to watch for - The Andrew Heaney conundrum - Context is key for understanding - Using Stat Parameters to Locate Value - Opportunity, Stuff, and Consistency…
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Evolution of Analytics & Modern Fantasy Baseball w/ Ron Shandler
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ron Shandler from Baseball HQ to discuss the evolution of analytics and modern-day fantasy baseball analysis. - How fantasy baseball has changed in recent years - Is there too much data? - Favorite analytics for hitters/pitchers - Tips for new fantasy managers - What is missing is data analysis? - How proposed rule…
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The guys go through their LABR auction recap and talk draft strategies.Oleh Bret Sayre
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Bullpen Strategy & Saves w/ guests Greg Jewett & Doug Dennis
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Greg Jewett of The Athletic and Doug Dennis of Baseball HQ to discuss how to value relief pitchers in fantasy this season. - Are elite closers worth the investment? - FAAB/Waivers vs Draft & Hold - Closer Handcuffs - Talent vs Opportunity - Late Round RP Options - Elite Middle Relievers…
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Projected Lineup Discussion & How To Deal With A Delayed Season
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) was joined by Matty Kiwoom of SPStreamer and Christopher Torres to discuss how the delayed season may impact fantasy baseball and talk about some of their disagreements with popular lineup projections like Roster Resource. - How the delayed season may impact player value - Be careful with platoons when projecting playing time -…
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The guys discuss all the backstops. Does DH really help NL catchers Bret jumps on the table for Yasmani Grandal, hates Dalton Varsho with the burning passion of 1,000 suns. Mike breaks down Mitch Garver. Adley Rutschman is suspect in terms of value depending on promotion. They refuse to discuss Omar Narvaez and Christian Vazquez, will discuss Gary …
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Opportunity Cost & Draft Strategy w/ guest Ariel Cohen
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ariel Cohen, the creator of ATC projections, to discuss opportunity cost and how to apply it to draft strategy in fantasy baseball. - What is opportunity cost? - Using ADP & projections to your advantage - Positon/Category scarcity - Position by position examples
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Five Star: Bo Bichette and Fernando Tatis Jr. create some cognitive dissonance. Four Star: Bret gets starry eyed over Xander Bogaerts and Bobby Witt Jr.; Bret and Mike can’t quit Francisco Lindor, accidentally disclose they are Mets fans leading everyone to openly question their sanity. Mike and Bret talk about how Tim Anderson has an extremely Tim…
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AL West Under/Overvalued Players with guests Nando di Fino & Russell Withers
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Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by guests Nando di Fino of The Athletic & Russell Withers of Armchair Roto to discuss the AL West. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Adolis Garcia, Noah Syndergaard, Justin Verlander, Shohei Ohtani, Jo Adell, Mitch Haniger, Spencer Ho…
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Episode 278: Hot Takes at Hot Corner
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Rafael Dever is a King Kris Bryant is good (?) Bret can’t quit Anthony Rendon Adam wants the guys to talk about Yoan Moncada, there’s resistance Justin Turner old and good We’re down on Ke’Bryan Hayes It’s time we have a talk about Josh Donaldson The 2-star guys: There aren’t many and they kinda suck, but Bret hearts Josh Jung…
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