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Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Manage episode 433390521 series 3426587
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(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID!
(3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues
(27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"?
(45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position
(55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes
(1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate
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Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8
https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate
https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained
https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan
https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-nov-core-consumer-inflation-hits-fresh-40-year-high-2022-12-22
https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-are-unstable-deputy-gov-says-6f4bf962
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html
https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-u-s-government-will-soon-spend-more-on-interest-payments-than-defense-ee6fbeec
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-08/jpmorgan-says-three-quarters-of-global-carry-trades-now-unwound
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job-growth-totals-114000-in-july-much-less-than-expected-as-unemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-07-2024/card/airbnb-stock-slides-after-rental-company-warns-of-slowing-u-s-demand-inf2c6emjcl5KI7KmkfR
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ
https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087
https://www.forbes.com/sites/gurufocus/2024/02/15/warren-buffett-bolsters-chevron-stake-revealing-key-q4-moves
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ
https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling
https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764
https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474
https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates
https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice
https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852
https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html
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