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BREAKING: Job Market Just Revised Down 800,000! (Payroll Crash)
Manage episode 435557047 series 2679639
Was Macy's the latest victim of the strong labor market? That doesn't make sense, of course, and now the government data has been revised massively lower to better align what really happened last year with where we are this year. The new figures show not just one-third fewer jobs gained, more importantly what that does the rate of change in the rate of change (2nd derivative). It ends up in Macy's sales forecast.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
CNBC Macy’s cuts sales forecast as department stores struggle to draw shoppers
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/macys-m-q2-2024-earnings.html
Macy's Quarterly Results
https://www.macysinc.com/newsroom/news/news-details/2024/Macys-Inc.-Reports-Second-Quarter-2024-Results/default.aspx
BLS QCEW Home
https://www.bls.gov/cew/
BLS QCEW CES Preliminary Benchmark Announcement
https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesprelbmk.htm
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
878 episode
Manage episode 435557047 series 2679639
Was Macy's the latest victim of the strong labor market? That doesn't make sense, of course, and now the government data has been revised massively lower to better align what really happened last year with where we are this year. The new figures show not just one-third fewer jobs gained, more importantly what that does the rate of change in the rate of change (2nd derivative). It ends up in Macy's sales forecast.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
CNBC Macy’s cuts sales forecast as department stores struggle to draw shoppers
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/macys-m-q2-2024-earnings.html
Macy's Quarterly Results
https://www.macysinc.com/newsroom/news/news-details/2024/Macys-Inc.-Reports-Second-Quarter-2024-Results/default.aspx
BLS QCEW Home
https://www.bls.gov/cew/
BLS QCEW CES Preliminary Benchmark Announcement
https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesprelbmk.htm
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
878 episode
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