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FWFB | Baseball - Episode 842 Part 1

1:43:21
 
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Manage episode 416979674 series 2312684
Konten disediakan oleh Justin Mason. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh Justin Mason atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang diuraikan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.
Episode 842 Part 1 - What to Look For
Host: Justin Mason @JustinMasonFWFB
Co-Host: Dave McDonald @RunDMCD
  1. Recent MLB News
    • Arraez traded to SD
    • Parker Meadows demoted to AAA
    • Buxton knee to IL
    • Musgrove elbow inflammation IL
    • Kwan hamstring IL
    • Langford hamstring IL
    • Lane Thomas knee IL
    • Trout knee IL - “should be back this season”
    • Evan Phillips hamstring IL
    • Yelich, Bellinger, Suzuki, Sano all getting close to returning later this week or next
    • Steele back, Ben Brown to bullpen, Wesneski staying in rotation for now
    • Woo, Garrett, Pivetta and Bello likely returning this week
    • Christian Scott, Mason Black, Jack Leiter, Jordan Beck, Joey Loperfido, Tyler Black, Kyle Manzardo, Bryan Ramos, PCA all up
    • Gasser coming up to start Friday?
    • Skenes not coming up this week?
    • Holliday, Mervis, Clase, Jordan Walker sent down

  1. What to look for at this point in the season:
    • Pitchers
      1. SIERA not ERA
      2. WHIP will stabilize eventually but it’s too early
      3. Ks and BBs stabilize early, but SwStrk% is more telling for Ks early
      4. Check HR rate, BABIP and LOB% for luck
    • Hitters
      1. Check AVG vs xBA
      2. For AVG look at Contact% Z-Con% LD% BABIP HH% K% not AVG
      3. For power, look at EV50, Pull%, barrel%, FB%, HR/FB not HRs
    • Also look at historical results and compare how they’re doing in these stats vs historical trends
    • Have to be able to figure out what just looks like a hot streak and what’s sustainable legitimate growth
      1. Adell: K% and SwStrk% way down, barrel% and HH% way up, contact% way up, Z-Con% way up, BABIP normal

  1. Don’t just look at results - look under the hood
    • Connor Wong vs Logan O’Hoppe
    • Wong: 98.9 EV50 (206) / HH: 33% / 6.7% barrel / xBA .248
    • O’Hoppe: 100.6 EV50 (100) / HH: 47% / 8.3% barrel / xBA .270
    • check HR/FB, BABIP
  continue reading

659 episode

Artwork
iconBagikan
 
Manage episode 416979674 series 2312684
Konten disediakan oleh Justin Mason. Semua konten podcast termasuk episode, grafik, dan deskripsi podcast diunggah dan disediakan langsung oleh Justin Mason atau mitra platform podcast mereka. Jika Anda yakin seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta Anda tanpa izin, Anda dapat mengikuti proses yang diuraikan di sini https://id.player.fm/legal.
Episode 842 Part 1 - What to Look For
Host: Justin Mason @JustinMasonFWFB
Co-Host: Dave McDonald @RunDMCD
  1. Recent MLB News
    • Arraez traded to SD
    • Parker Meadows demoted to AAA
    • Buxton knee to IL
    • Musgrove elbow inflammation IL
    • Kwan hamstring IL
    • Langford hamstring IL
    • Lane Thomas knee IL
    • Trout knee IL - “should be back this season”
    • Evan Phillips hamstring IL
    • Yelich, Bellinger, Suzuki, Sano all getting close to returning later this week or next
    • Steele back, Ben Brown to bullpen, Wesneski staying in rotation for now
    • Woo, Garrett, Pivetta and Bello likely returning this week
    • Christian Scott, Mason Black, Jack Leiter, Jordan Beck, Joey Loperfido, Tyler Black, Kyle Manzardo, Bryan Ramos, PCA all up
    • Gasser coming up to start Friday?
    • Skenes not coming up this week?
    • Holliday, Mervis, Clase, Jordan Walker sent down

  1. What to look for at this point in the season:
    • Pitchers
      1. SIERA not ERA
      2. WHIP will stabilize eventually but it’s too early
      3. Ks and BBs stabilize early, but SwStrk% is more telling for Ks early
      4. Check HR rate, BABIP and LOB% for luck
    • Hitters
      1. Check AVG vs xBA
      2. For AVG look at Contact% Z-Con% LD% BABIP HH% K% not AVG
      3. For power, look at EV50, Pull%, barrel%, FB%, HR/FB not HRs
    • Also look at historical results and compare how they’re doing in these stats vs historical trends
    • Have to be able to figure out what just looks like a hot streak and what’s sustainable legitimate growth
      1. Adell: K% and SwStrk% way down, barrel% and HH% way up, contact% way up, Z-Con% way up, BABIP normal

  1. Don’t just look at results - look under the hood
    • Connor Wong vs Logan O’Hoppe
    • Wong: 98.9 EV50 (206) / HH: 33% / 6.7% barrel / xBA .248
    • O’Hoppe: 100.6 EV50 (100) / HH: 47% / 8.3% barrel / xBA .270
    • check HR/FB, BABIP
  continue reading

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