Stock Market Next Week: Is a 7% Gain in November and December Possible Again?
Manage episode 445922311 series 3604010
🎙Welcome to Market Dive, your weekly deep dive into the world of finance and investing!
In today's episode, Nika and Kian will discuss a bullish outlook for continued growth in the stock market. Despite concerns around high valuations and global uncertainties, they’ll explore why many experts believe there’s still room for the market to climb, especially as we approach the end of the year. With key earnings reports and historical trends supporting this perspective, today’s episode promises insights on what could drive market performance in the coming weeks.
Here are a few key points we’ll tackle:
- Will upcoming earnings from giants like Amazon and Tesla fuel a market rally?
- Can historical trends from the S&P 500 predict continued growth this year?
- What risks should investors be mindful of in a seemingly bullish market?
- How might the U.S. election and geopolitical tensions influence stock performance?
- What’s the best approach for disciplined investing in today’s environment?
As we head into the final months of 2024, the earnings season is crucial. Around 20% of S&P 500 companies, including major players like Amazon and Tesla, are set to report their Q3 results. Analysts predict a modest 4.1% growth, but past earnings surprises hint at the potential for more significant gains, possibly solidifying the current risk-on sentiment. Historical data is also encouraging: since 1950, when the S&P 500 ended October with a six-month trailing return above 10%, it has always posted positive returns by December, averaging 7.4% gains in the final two months of the year. With the current trailing return sitting above 15%, there’s reason to stay optimistic.
However, the episode will also cover the risks that come with this optimistic outlook. High valuations, geopolitical concerns, and the U.S. election all pose potential threats to market stability. Nika and Kian will emphasize the importance of maintaining a disciplined investing approach despite these challenges.
Make sure to tune in to hear their take on how you can navigate this bullish yet cautious market environment. With potential market movers and insightful analysis, this is an episode you won’t want to miss!
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